I think it's about a 50/50 shot, since we don't have a lot of information yet. If Israel's fingerprints can't be found on this, would Iran still have cause to retaliate against Israel? If it's a malfunction or pilot error, would Iran still use that as a pretext to go to war?
Iran's NOT the most rational, stable government in the world, so it's almost as if the actual cause doesn't matter. Iran is capable of using any pretext, real or imagined, as a casus belli ... a "reason" to go to war.
I think it's about a 50/50 shot, since we don't have a lot of information yet. If Israel's fingerprints can't be found on this, would Iran still have cause to retaliate against Israel? If it's a malfunction or pilot error, would Iran still use that as a pretext to go to war?
Iran's NOT the most rational, stable government in the world, so it's almost as if the actual cause doesn't matter. Iran is capable of using any pretext, real or imagined, as a casus belli ... a "reason" to go to war.