The odds are Merchan will sentence DJT to jail. What happens if he goes to Rikers and the Dems remove his security? Can they remove the Secret Service detail assigned to protect him? You know they will try anything and everything.
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The system isn’t set up (generally) for a person convicted of a crime to stay out of prison while they exhaust appeals. While there are exceptions, it would be highly unusual for him to stay out for years pending appeal.