For those who do not have X:

NEW: Forecaster who has predicted almost every election since 1984, says Kamala Harris will likely win the election in November.

Allan Lichtman, who correctly predicted Trump would win in 2016 & Biden in 2020, says his forecasts point to a Harris win.

Lichtman uses '13 keys' to make his predictions:

The "keys" are: – party mandate – contest – incumbency – third party – short-term economy – long-term economy – policy change, – social unrest – scandal – foreign/military failure – foreign/military success – incumbent charisma – challenger charisma

As of now, Harris has 6 keys and Trump only has 3.

Lichtman still has four keys to hand out but Harris is already at 6 meaning, in his own words, "a lot would have to go wrong for Democrats to lose."

Lichtman is waiting until the DNC to make his final prediction.