100% agree. My litmus is/are the twatter/X polls. Especially the ones generated by Biden and Harris sycophants. Only observing polls with 250,000+ respondents it is damned near ALWAYS Trump 68% +/- 2%. Every single time.
"Bias", of course, is always the "yeah, but ..." bullshit dismissive. While I do not discount bias, when you have a quarter million observations ... the alpha and beta errors shrink dramatically. Hell, even if you apply a 10% error rate (not really possible with a public poll of that size, but OK) you still get TRUMP 58%. Worst case scenario.
100% agree. My litmus is/are the twatter/X polls. Especially the ones generated by Biden and Harris sycophants. Only observing polls with 250,000+ respondents it is damned near ALWAYS Trump 68% +/- 2%. Every single time.
"Bias", of course, is always the "yeah, but ..." bullshit dismissive. While I do not discount bias, when you have a quarter million observations ... the alpha and beta errors shrink dramatically. Hell, even if you apply a 10% error rate (not really possible with a public poll of that size, but OK) you still get TRUMP 58%. Worst case scenario.