These numbers reflect the percentage of registered voters who early voted. Not just a registration count. 17% of voters by party affiliation, not actual vote cast, doesn't provide enough data to even suggest an outcome, regardless however.
What do you gain from this data? I thought the states with 50% of registered voters early voting could provide a little more insight.
All I can gain from this data is the number of people that voted early. A secondary effect is the party affiliation of the early voters.
Since nothing precludes you from voting R when you are registered D, and vice versa, there's not much else we can derive from this data.
But we can also do historical comparisons, e.g. how many registered Rs voted early historically vs this year. At this point we still can't say if there are more registered & active R voters now than 4 years ago, since we still have to wait for voting day for that.
Not to mention which way non affiliated voted. However, I think we can safely assume the direction. I was trying to find some 2020 data to compare early voters from then but couldn't find anything applicable. Based off of what we've seen about Rs actively registering and party flips, we may know more than the data alludes.
There is no way Dems are leading by 23% in Pennsylvania!
Why not?
This is not a vote count, it's a registration count.
Votes have not been counted yet.
These numbers reflect the percentage of registered voters who early voted. Not just a registration count. 17% of voters by party affiliation, not actual vote cast, doesn't provide enough data to even suggest an outcome, regardless however.
What do you gain from this data? I thought the states with 50% of registered voters early voting could provide a little more insight.
All I can gain from this data is the number of people that voted early. A secondary effect is the party affiliation of the early voters.
Since nothing precludes you from voting R when you are registered D, and vice versa, there's not much else we can derive from this data.
But we can also do historical comparisons, e.g. how many registered Rs voted early historically vs this year. At this point we still can't say if there are more registered & active R voters now than 4 years ago, since we still have to wait for voting day for that.
Not to mention which way non affiliated voted. However, I think we can safely assume the direction. I was trying to find some 2020 data to compare early voters from then but couldn't find anything applicable. Based off of what we've seen about Rs actively registering and party flips, we may know more than the data alludes.