Dems now find themselves in a position where support is crumbling, and they are having a harder and harder time maintaining the illusion of a close race, even with 24/7 media help. As a result they are risking widespread small scale cheats already in numerous counties, and testing/seeding numerous narratives via social engineering. They find themselves in a landscape full of new threats to their operations, a public that is onto them, and a media that no longer has power to SELL narratives like it used to.
Public Awareness The way public awareness has shifted cannot be understated. In 2020 the majority of Americans had suspicions something was wrong, but only a minority was certain… and the majority of Americans settled back into a “wait and see” approach. They believed if there was merit to claims of election fraud, then the courts would settle the matter. Then as month after month dragged on, they found themselves doubting.
However, the minority that knew what happened didn’t quit. They stubbornly followed the legal cases and relentlessly messaged friends, family, coworkers & neighbors over time until the certain knowledge of election fraud grew into a real majority. Today more than 60% of Americans don’t believe Joe Biden was lawfully elected.
This is the first election in history that is happening WHILE the People know fraud is real, and are watching for it in REAL TIME, and going online to tell everybody about it.
The Role of X In the last week we have seen Democrats in several counties around the nation flat out break their own election laws. Shutting down voting lines, opening drop boxes after legal deadlines, not allowing Election observers to witness ballot handling operations, and many more.
But we are seeing public awareness explode in real time, in a way that has never happened before, and emergency court rulings addressing these matters within days or even hours in some cases. This has the operational effect of stopping dirty tricks in progress (stopping PA from counting 168,000 duplicate votes), but critically it also acts as a narrative weapon to loudly prove that Dems are in fact cheating and provides critical social proof / encouragement to 100,000s of other Americans to Say Something if they See Something.
Any scheme being loudly caught, exposed, and reversed so quickly has a chilling effect on other party operatives waiting on standby to activate other plans.
Narrative Seeding There are many different narratives being seeded/tested right now. This is because the Cabal trying to install Kamala does not know which schemes will work, and which will be blocked. Like a football team, they are trying to set themselves up so they have the option to run different plays. Some of these plays require very real and specific preparations to already be in place.
Some tactical things must be put in motion, while other tactical things must be blocked because they would make certain narratives impossible. Similarly, some cognitive narratives must be seeded, while other narratives must be counter-seeded. And all of that has to be executed and monitored in real time, with plans shifting as events unfold.
Here I want to simply make note of a number of key narratives being seeded right now. Some are meant to discourage R turnout, some to boost D turnout, some to prepare Ds for post election violent resistance, some to cast doubt on later claims of D cheating, some to build support for later claims of cheating to help Trump (Russia). So many narratives being tested and seeded simultaneously.
Some of the Narratives at Play Right Now
Anti-Trump Narrative Trump is dangerous (Hitler, threat against Cheney, divisive language) A lot of Christians aren’t voting in 2024 (he’s evil, uses bad words, had multiple marriages, won’t commit to 100% abortion ban) Saying MAGA will become violent Trump won’t concede if he loses Trump plans to claim fraud Trump will ban all abortions Trump will be a dictator / racist / etc Republicans will ban all porn Women are dumping Trump, “lie to your husband” commercials Puerto Rico joke by comedian has cost Trump independents and people of color
Trump will be blocked somehow Dems won’t certify Machines will switch votes Contested electors Congress will do 14th amendment block based on J6 Results won’t be known for days Overseas ballots will upset expectations
Pro-Kamala Narrative Celebrity endorsements of Kamala Floating the abortion is a deciding issue
General Uncertainty Motive (goal here is to reduce confidence levels) Polls shifting Financial/betting markets shifting (two large bets flipped one of the states)
Front Door Strategy As many have pointed out, the evidence of bottom up support for Trump is so strong, and the number of mail in ballots “in play” (mailed out but not returned yet) is so much smaller in 2024 vs 2020, that in many regions there simply do not exist enough mail in ballots to flip a county to Kamala, even if every outstanding ballot went to her. The potential vote margin has been squeezed from both sides (more votes for Trump, less mail to cheat with). This is why some people say there is no front door strategy.
However, I disagree with this view, because of key narratives being seeded that are intended to try and keep that door open (IMO the enemy would not waste bandwidth trying to feed these narratives unless they were hoping to develop the potential play).
- Women Secret Votes for Kamala: A lot of messaging telling women to secretly switch their vote to Kamala and not tell their husbands. Keep in mind a narrative does have to be true to provide some cover. Hypothetically, if they switched a bunch of female votes, how would anybody know? Such a conversation creates a “gray area” because nobody can prove it is or isn’t happening, but the fact many elite messengers are floating that narrative means they were told to get that out there and prepare the public for the idea.
- Low Male Turnout: They are messaging about low male turnout, and that is certainly happening in the big urban areas. Black men turnout is low. But that means 100,000s of names on the E.R.I.C. voter rolls that they can see didn’t vote yet, and that means a bank of potential votes to generate on or just after election day. Float the narrative now to try and keep the option on the table. To activate this option they will very soon have to do a big push to make people think these black voters have suddenly got motivated and come off the bench for Kamala. This is a key narrative gap to watch for. Think “false flag on Monday” targeting urban black voters if they decide to go for this option.
- Independents Breaking for Kamala: They have been floating the narrative that late deciding independents are overwhelmingly going to Kamala. That’s not based on anything because it doesn’t have to be yet. This Phase 1 narrative is being floated to test public reaction. Watch for them to take this one to the next level with some prime time “man on the street” or a “focus group” or some new poll that bakes in what they learned from Phase 1 (public acceptance or rejection of narrative), and then seems to give them data the media can use to sell this one harder on Monday/Tuesday. Again… E.R.I.C. data on voter rolls will let them see the Independents that haven’t voted and potentially generate ballots for those voters. But above all, keep in your mind that they can only pull the trigger on these things if they KNOW they are close enough to WIN. They can’t pull the trigger on these cheats for a maybe, because the threat environment is way too hot, and the people down in the counties who have to execute on this shit won’t stick their necks out for Kamala with everybody watching. They are in a situation where they have to try and line up all of their cards, and then somebody has to make a GO / NO GO decision and communicate that down the ranks. Very risky, when the average low level cheater only faces a slap on the wrist for 2020, if they don’t make things worse for themselves now in 2024.
Back Door Strategy This idea encompasses a variety of post-election operations they might do to stop Trump from taking office OR to radically undermine his Presidency, should he make it through Inauguration Day. This includes several different ways they might try to block electoral college certification, or Congress declaring Trump ineligible. We will have plenty of time to consider this topic after Tuesday Nov 5th is over.
Polling Iowa/Selzer. This was leaked ahead of time as a poll showing Iowa had flipped +3 for Kamala. Then the poll was released and allowed to be shopped around all of the networks, before hours later the cross tabs came out showing the sampling. The sampling is so bad it was clearly delayed to give the media some hours to use the poll.
11 point sampling shift from R+8 in 2020, to D+3 now.
Other polls show Iowa is still +10 for Trump, so Selzer was a wild outlier.
(there is so much chatter on the polls, and so much being written on that, that I'm not going to make this thread longer by including it here.)
Natural Signal In stark contrast to the polls being used by Team Kamala, we have lots of natural signals contradicting their illusions. The most important of these is that the vast majority of counties have voter registration that has strongly moved right since 2020. In some states every single county has shifted right. More on this later, but another critical area of signal is all the support peeling away from Kamala.
The Players Divided You’ve seen this, so I don’t need to expand on it, but we are seeing a lot of signal in the form of conflict between Biden loyalists and Kamala loyalists. Biden hates her and keeps sabotaging Kamala. Kamala found enough allies to push Biden off to the side of his own Presidency in his final months, making him a laughing stock. Jill probably wants to shoot Kamala, and their staffers are reportedly raging at each other in the halls of the White House. People in the know see this division and smell the weakness.
Support peeling away Nobody likes the fact that Kamala lost the primary, didn’t earn a single delegate, but got installed anyway. Numerous left-wing groups have called this out as undemocratic. Most traditional Democrats are uncomfortable at least, and some royally pissed. Many groups that supported Biden (or at least remained silent), have refused to endorse Kamala or even denounced her (border patrol), and some have even endorsed Trump. This includes various worker unions, border patrol, Muslim & Somali community leaders, etc. Many silicon valley tech leaders are in this group. Either they don’t want to cross Elon, or genuinely believe Trump will be better for business. Fundamentally Silicon Valley were cowards and went along with public perception in 2020, and in some ways they are just doing the same thing in 2024… going along with a public sentiment that has clearly shifted. Note: they don’t rely on public polls. They rely on signals from a vast section of the economy that rolls up under businesses they control. They know what people are thinking, even without polls.
Threat Environment This is a critical point to understanding the criminal psychology of this moment in time. Those who might be tempted to cheat in 2024 have been put on very clear notice by Trump. “Cheat in 2024 and you go to jail.”, but this plays differently in the ears of Coup leaders vs the low level party operatives.
Coup leaders are going to jail either way, but low level stooges who got caught up in ballot mule (or similar) operations in 2020, who back off and do not interfere this time, are NOT going to face anywhere near the same level of retribution. Many will get nothing more than community service and a small fine, some won’t face any legal consequences at all (you might not like that, but it’s true and an effective strategy to lower the stakes now and encourage them to back off). It only recently occurred to me that THIS is probably the reason True The Vote never publicly released all that data on ballot mules, but we’ll see.
Calling an Audible Dems may not even know yet which plays they will have to call, it may very well be an audible at the last minute depending on how early returns from different states start to roll in. If the People deliver record turnout and it becomes very obvious to ALL that Trump won, they will call off vote switching cheats that would never work and only land them in immediate prison. If returns are weak and Trump’s performance is weaker than expected, they may find themselves doing the math and deciding they can get away with it.
On Election Day Watch for the key 2020 swing states to once again hold back as long as possible to see which way the wind is blowing. On the other hand, if you see any of them cave and call the race for Trump early, that will be a HUGE SIGNAL they have closed the “front door” cheat options as too risky, and are moving on to “back door” options.
Holding Pattern In summary, from now all the way until Tuesday night, they will be floating many different narratives to see how many people will believe them, how strongly they will believe them, and to try as hard as possible to reduce the level of certainty the public feels about a Trump win… because in their minds all of that opens doors and keeps options on the table.
Forwarded from (TruthHammer)
Excellent take