There are a couple of things I am considering that makes my spidey senses go off:
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15000 Jihadi' s overrun 200.000 Syrian defense forces. They, the latter just melted away, while before they were able to resist a jihadi onslaught by ISIS-groups for years on their own. And perfectly knowing well that ISIS is bad for business. It seems like orders were given to not only Not engage but also the melt away.
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The ISIS-born Jihadi: Abu Mohammad al-Jolani all of a sudden in CNN-favorite.
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The whole affair is presented as a surprise. Like October 7th 2023 in Israel. Yeah .... no one in their right mind is convinced of that.
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Russia simply says: I have some other engagements, just don't touch Latakia. (and they can: Areshnik proved they can perfectly kill infrastructure with one shot)
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The day of the cease fire truce with Hamas/ Hezbollah, Israeli forces move into the region beyond the Golan Heights, while Doug Macgregor is preaching the moral defeat of the IDF.
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QATR again, is making moves in the background, like with the first Syrian Proxy war.
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The rabble rousing ISIS reborn forces, are fighting amongst themselves ....
As Q would say: reconcile ....
It seems to me, that this is a trap for the DS mercenary armies. Bring them out, let them show their hand, logistics, command and control structure, etc, spread them thin, and stick a knife through the heart.
It reminds me of a ploy the British deployed in the WO-I in Arabia. Let the Arab league hold Damascus and let them infighting become weaker and weaker.
From several days ago, I've felt that this was a Russian style cauldron trap for the Takfiris and the mercenaries. Let them overextend and then collect them all in one place.
The fact that the Russians, Hezbollah and the SAA all pulled back instead of fighting kinda shows it for me.
I don't think the Russians are too overextended to take out 15K or more ISIS types. They just haven't done it yet. Not everything is in position.
Look at the best Ukro specimens who are stuck in Kursk right now and off the playing board in Ukraine. That's another example of Russian military thinking - the cauldron pattern.
This may happen yet!
Isa_17:1 The burden of Damascus. Behold, Damascus is taken away from being a city, and it shall be a ruinous heap.
I hope not!