Current leader (same party) that took over from John Magufuli - who famously was killed for not taking covid seriously (and was anti LGBT etc). Samia Suluhu Hassan, more liberal, more internationalist, but possibly not as much as desired by the EU etc..

This could be a colour revolution playbook, but more likely she is too globohomo (hers is a left wing party) for the people while the banned opposition is more conservative right.