That theory only works as long as the 80+ Million Iranian civilians NOT part of the tyrannical Iranian govt remain cowed with fear of reprisals from the govt. This is more a narrative war than anything else. Iran's drone production facilities have been decimated or outright destroyed, so have 90+% of it's missile launching capabilities.
Iran's only tue negotiating power lies in the UN's and EU's belief that it supremely holds its grip over the Strait of Hormuz. We can continue bombing the shit out of the IRGC's missile and drone capacities until their effectiveness is down to >1% without ever putting "large number" troop acapcotoes anywhere inside IRGC held territory.
Another issue with thae thought of regional Iranian hegemony over the Persian Gulf is the graphic used to denote Iranian vs US/Israeli strikes. We've struck over 5000 targets, at will, in just the last 3 weeks, with the only signs of slowing down due to the fact that Iran's capacity for reprisal strikes has diminished immensely due to those strikes' effectiveness. We have so many satellites in position over that country that we don't necessarily need fixed radar placements to know when or where any of their missiles launch from and where or when they may strike. IRGC elements are relying on the weak position of flawed thinking that 1) we can't open up the Strait whenever we want to, 2) that we can't continue targeting whatever systems they may have left, 3) that the EU countries won't do anything to strengthen themselves, 4) that the IRGC has an inexhaustible supply of leaders that can actually make decisions from a national leadership standpoint, 5) that because of #'s 1-4, Trump's negotiating position is truly weakened.
All it takes is a coalition of nations in the UN to recognize that the IRGC is now effectively dead for the world to officially recognize this, which means Russia and China, for the forced removal of the IRGC/Iranian govt from any negotiations and removal from the international stage. Once that happens, the whole argument of Iranian regional hegemony evaporates.
The fact that these people are even talking about it is proof that the Iranian regime is kaput. Closing down the Strait of Hormuz works both ways. It hurts the whole region, but it hurts Iran most of all since we control the air and seas around Iran. We have aerial superiority and can do ert or turn away any flights we choose, at the time of our choosing, and can do it indefinitely. These posts are only considering U.S. offensive capabilities without factoring in that there haven't been any flights into Iran for weeks now. They're effectively blockaded. No help is coming for that govt. If they even attempt to move any assets they immediately becomes targets of opportunity for destruction.
The world is operating from the flawed belief that the U.S. arsenal is depleted when no one outside a few people in the Pentagon actually know exactly what we have. All these think tanks believe they know, but they don't know for sure. It's a narrative game based on false assumptions using flawed and outdated logic. We can effectively remove Iran from the world stage and turn it into another hermit kingdom if need be. And if they think Trump won't possibly do that, they're mistaken because he's already making deals with their allies to supply U.S. controlled oil and other critical resources without Iran's permission. With enough pressure out on Russia and China, they themselves with force the removal of the Iranian Govt and IRGC. Anyone thinking Russia and China won't do that clearly don't know just how bad either country is hurting for resources, especially China.
It's all just the whimpering moans of a dying paradigm struggling to cling to life at this point. Trump doesn't want the Iranian People to suffer, but that doesn't mean that he'll just capitulate to whatever insane demands of whoever is left in the Iranian Govt. They've effectively been abandoned by the world and only have any negotiating power because the world is still operating on false logic laid out almost a century ago by a mechanism of control that is clearly dying.
That theory only works as long as the 80+ Million Iranian civilians NOT part of the tyrannical Iranian govt remain cowed with fear of reprisals from the govt. This is more a narrative war than anything else. Iran's drone production facilities have been decimated or outright destroyed, so have 90+% of it's missile launching capabilities.
Iran's only tue negotiating power lies in the UN's and EU's belief that it supremely holds its grip over the Strait of Hormuz. We can continue bombing the shit out of the IRGC's missile and drone capacities until their effectiveness is down to >1% without ever putting "large number" troop acapcotoes anywhere inside IRGC held territory.
Another issue with thae thought of regional Iranian hegemony over the Persian Gulf is the graphic used to denote Iranian vs US/Israeli strikes. We've struck over 5000 targets, at will, in just the last 3 weeks, with the only signs of slowing down due to the fact that Iran's capacity for reprisal strikes has diminished immensely due to those strikes' effectiveness. We have so many satellites in position over that country that we don't necessarily need fixed radar placements to know when or where any of their missiles launch from and where or when they may strike. IRGC elements are relying on the weak position of flawed thinking that 1) we can't open up the Strait whenever we want to, 2) that we can't continue targeting whatever systems they may have left, 3) that the EU countries won't do anything to strengthen themselves, 4) that the IRGC has an inexhaustible supply of leaders that can actually make decisions from a national leadership standpoint, 5) that because of #'s 1-4, Trump's negotiating position is truly weakened.
All it takes is a coalition of nations in the UN to recognize that the IRGC is now effectively dead for the world to officially recognize this, which means Russia and China, for the forced removal of the IRGC/Iranian govt from any negotiations and removal from the international stage. Once that happens, the whole argument of Iranian regional hegemony evaporates.
The fact that these people are even talking about it is proof that the Iranian regime is kaput. Closing down the Strait of Hormuz works both ways. It hurts the whole region, but it hurts Iran most of all since we control the air and seas around Iran. We have aerial superiority and can do ert or turn away any flights we choose, at the time of our choosing, and can do it indefinitely. These posts are only considering U.S. offensive capabilities without factoring in that there haven't been any flights into Iran for weeks now. They're effectively blockaded. No help is coming for that govt. If they even attempt to move any assets they immediately becomes targets of opportunity for destruction.
The world is operating from the flawed belief that the U.S. arsenal is depleted when no one outside a few people in the Pentagon actually know exactly what we have. All these think tanks believe they know, but they don't know for sure. It's a narrative game based on false assumptions using flawed and outdated logic. We can effectively remove Iran from the world stage and turn it into another hermit kingdom if need be. And if they think Trump won't possibly do that, they're mistaken because he's already making deals with their allies to supply U.S. controlled oil and other critical resources without Iran's permission. With enough pressure out on Russia and China, they themselves with force the removal of the Iranian Govt and IRGC. Anyone thinking Russia and China won't do that clearly don't know just how bad either country is hurting for resources, especially China.
It's all just the whimpering moans of a dying paradigm struggling to cling to life at this point. Trump doesn't want the Iranian People to suffer, but that doesn't mean that he'll just capitulate to whatever insane demands of whoever is left in the Iranian Govt. They've effectively been abandoned by the world and only have any negotiating power because the world is still operating on false logic laid out almost a century ago by a mechanism of control that is clearly dying.