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posted 14 days ago by JohnTitor17 14 days ago by JohnTitor17 +52 / -0
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– JohnTitor17 [S] 5 points 14 days ago +5 / -0

I'll try to find some sauce, but I recl turnout that year was 30% higher than during the 2012 primary.

30% is a universe away from 100%

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– TSearch 6 points 14 days ago +6 / -0

True, but still significant because his opponent did it on a shoestring budget.

I also took a look at 2022 when Tom Rice was primaried in South Carolina. There was no primary in 2020 due to Covid. During the 2018 primary there were 45,812 votes cast, he won. During 2022 there were 85,212 votes cast to unseat him. That’s an 86% increase in turnout, so it’s a fair precedent.

It’s also analogous to the Massie defeat because it’s another example of what happens when a sitting Congressman gets on the wrong side of President Trump and MAGA.

I said earlier Massie is not the kind of guy to concede if he believed he was cheated, especially so early in the evening. His internal polling and his campaign staff at each polling location were telling him he wasn’t going to win.

I live close to the his district and can also say there were reports through the day that based on what they were seeing at polling locations 2016 turnout was double what it was during the 2024 primary. It was an update by the Cincinnati Enquirer.

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