LLinwWood Echoed it
(media.greatawakening.win)
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You heard from those who were looking for wasy to confirmation bias. Like if you catch another man in the room with your wife, you can say "maybe he was there to fix a radiator, then wife brough him water, he spilled water on himself and that is the reason he took off his clothes"> Sure, it can be so. But why not the more plausible explnation that they were going to have sex?
Or maybe it really was recorded... you know, because it's at least a 50% chance. Were you there or something? do you have direct knowledge? What is your opinion of Lin Wood repeating this as truth?
Why is it specifically 50% chance it was recorded and not 5% or 95%?
Or do you determine chances like this or that, both 50/50 ?
Because when you have two options, 1. It happened, or 2. It didn't happen... and you DON'T KNOW then you allocate and equal chance to both. Anything other than this is CONJECTURE unless you have actual KNOWLEDGE about the situation.
No, it does not work that way, it can be 1/99 or whatever. You do not know, but you also assign probabilities to the events.
I do not know if somebody died today on the street next to my house. That does not mean somebody dieying there is 50/50 chance. I give it 0,0001% chance for that happened and 99.999 for not happened.
I do not know if Trump had Fanta drink over dinner tonight. Does not mean it is 50/50 he had fanta.
It pains me that I even have explain such basics.