Your most plausible scenarios?
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One rumour was that just before "the plan" was about to be carried out, the Deep State warned that if that happened they would nuke somewhere.
Consequently, the plan was called off. I suspect that steps are now in hand to locate any missing nukes. If they cannot be found then the Deep State has won again.
I heard same rumor.
Unless they are the small "suitcase" types, such nukes would likely come from abroad, like Russia for example, and other states whose control over their arsenal is "questionable"
Good grief