Each horizontal increment is 20 years, or a generation. It would be reasonable if deaths were increasing in proportion to births, but to be reasonable like that they would have to be assuming the population doubles every generation.
Right, the postwar population boom happened later in much of the world, but it's the same basic explanation for the projected rise in annual deaths. The number of deaths in this decade is mainly a function of what was happening 7 decades before.
I work in long term care - average claim for males is age 83 and for females it is age 86. The average claim runs between 3-4 years. They fall into three groups. First group is less than one year. Second is that 3-4 year number. The balance are the long claims that tick up towards 10 years - mainly dementia.
The US has 70 million baby boomers. The Chinese have 250 million. The pattern reflects that.
Each horizontal increment is 20 years, or a generation. It would be reasonable if deaths were increasing in proportion to births, but to be reasonable like that they would have to be assuming the population doubles every generation.
Well, they've long convinced me to have at least half a dozen to a dozen kids.
Possibly more if we'll end up with multiple tuplets.
Really ? That's great but talk to your husband first.. 😁
That would be me. I'll have to hold back and try not to be too much of a burden on my wife.
I certainly wouldn't mind having dozens of kids.
That 2-3 decade upswing is the Boomers dying. Once they die it starts to plateau. The global population did in fact double from WWII to 1980
This chart represents the deaths expected in the UN, not the USA.
Right, the postwar population boom happened later in much of the world, but it's the same basic explanation for the projected rise in annual deaths. The number of deaths in this decade is mainly a function of what was happening 7 decades before.
i agree the boomers are probably that spike this post is stupid imho
First Boomers turn 75 this year.
I work in long term care - average claim for males is age 83 and for females it is age 86. The average claim runs between 3-4 years. They fall into three groups. First group is less than one year. Second is that 3-4 year number. The balance are the long claims that tick up towards 10 years - mainly dementia.
The US has 70 million baby boomers. The Chinese have 250 million. The pattern reflects that.