Al Gore’s claim, drawn from climate “science,” that the Arctic would be ice-free by 2013 stands as a glowing symbol of the absurdity of climate change. Is there any other scientific discipline that makes false predictions 99% of the time?..
Just asking....
That makes two of us, then. I graduated from Climate to Politics in 2016! I find the comparisons between the two scams interesting. Both scares based on models. Both based on things you cannot measure yourself. Both have the media on board reporting just one side of any story and ignoring anything off-narrative. Both scams need a global government to step in and fix things all under UN control (i.e. IPCC and WHO). Both scams make money for the chosen few: e.g. Solyndra and Big Pharma.
You are right about the lag. The 420,000 years of Vostok ice core data shows that the temperature changes first and then, about 800 years later, the CO2 levels change to suit.
Somewhere on my bookshelf is a book talking about core ice samples including many pages of data, but all I can remember is that it is a book that I didn't expect to see data like that presented. I have lots of books so I haven't stumbled across it again although I did make a serious attempt one time Gore said something that pissed me off.
Being keen (!?) I located the Vostok data once. The samples are taken at quite sporadic intervals so I used some cubic spline interpolation to create a regular sampling interval and then compared the two time series in Excel. I got 900 years which, considering the amateur approach, I decided was near enough to a confirmation.
The mechanism that might make that a reality is the air heating the sea water. Most of the earth's available CO2 is in the oceans and warmer water holds less CO2 than cold water. So, as the water warms it gives off CO2. I guessed, without evidence, that the volume of water that needed heating was causing the lag.
I forgot to say that I have noticed that "their" playbook seems to repeat a lot.