Don Jr on Rasmussen report POLL … Is MSM THE ENEMY OF THE PEOPLE ?
(media.greatawakening.win)
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Blacks are 19% of the Democratic vote. 63% of that is 12%. That means that blacks raise the AGREE vote in this poll for Democrats by 12 points, or about a third.
In other words, a third of all democrats who voted "AGREE" here were black.
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/10/26/what-the-2020-electorate-looks-like-by-party-race-and-ethnicity-age-education-and-religion/
Under the assumption these black people are democrats. I don't think that's case here and you're missing several variables to make an overall shitty point.
Like I said I think I jumped the gun a little, but you're assuming that the 63% of all blacks who believe MSM is the enemy is evenly distributed among R & D & Independent blacks, and I don't think that's a safe assumption at all.
The Pew poll says that in 2019 19% of the dem voter base was black. But that figure would presumably be based on registration. Newsweek & Co. had the 2020 approval for Trump among blacks up from 15% to 24%. Rasmussen had it much higher at 31% for registered voters.
I think a big chunk of that 63% - more than half - is comprised of the blacks that moved over to pro-Trump. Stated another way, I would think over 90% of the pre-Trump blacks believe that MSM is enemy of the state. I am assuming a high correlation between pro-Trump and anti-MSM generally, and among blacks.
https://www.newsweek.com/trumps-approval-rating-climbs-among-black-voters-goes-down-overall-1528468
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/oct/29/rasmussen-31-likely-black-voters-support-president/
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2018/08/16/trump-approval-rating-african-americans-rasmussen-poll/1013212002/ I was still wrong in my original assumption though so I thank y
You're right but also forgetting one important thing. Those pro-Trump blacks are still regarded as "Democrats" in this poll unless they changed their registration.
But let's be generous and say half of those 31% pro-Trump blacks changed their registration to R.
That makes it around a 15% / 85% split for blacks, R / D respectively. So let's assume ALL 15% of those voted to AGREE. That leaves us with 63-15 = 48% of D blacks voted to AGREE.
Now the tricky part. If democrats hemorrhaged 15% of the blacks to R's, and assuming they hemorrhaged zero whites to be generous, then the breakdown is around .85 x 19% = 16% of D voters are black.
.16 x 37% = 6% of the democrats who voted AGREE are black.
I can see the flaw in my logic you are pointing out, which is the fact that blacks make up only a small percentage of the overall democratic voter base. But I'm not following the "63% of [the 19%] is 12%."
Are you assuming that the number of democratic blacks who believe the election was stolen is 63%? I don't know if that assumption makes sense.
63% is from the poll. 63% of blacks agree that the media is the enemy.
Total democrat voters consist of 19% blacks.
So if we take 63% of that 19, we get the % of democrats who were black and agreed (since there are SO VERY few in the R party to account for) = 12% of democrats are both black and voted agree
So divide 12% (black Democrat AGREE) / 37% (total Democrat AGREE) = 32% of the AGREE for Democrats were blacks.
Not irrelevant, but statistically irrelevant. I know, and I said as much. They only make up about 1% of Republican voters.