“equipment”

Yes, when OP is saying it’s red states vs blue states + feds, I don’t think he’s really talking about the people of those states as much as he’s talking about the government resources. The people will flow to their ideological side like you say, but many civilians won’t get involved. The weirdo leftists you listed above mostly won’t want to fight. Why would they? The collectivist state apparatus pays goons to fight for them.

In OP’s scenario, here’s how I see the teams:

Commies:

• Top Brass, so most of the national military branches minus Patriot instant defectors and sleepers who remain imbedded

• most of the Deep State

• Blue State national guards and police forces, minus many Patriot defectors

• some Red State commie defectors

• paid cabal goons such as pantyfa and foreign invaders

• some of the more physically capable members of cabal’s surveillance network

• a small number of civilian volunteers (the only ones not being paid to fight for the commies)

Patriots:

• a huge number of civilian volunteers including many military veterans, some very recently

• a few white hats in the Deep State

• some sleepers in the military

• Red State national guards and police forces, minus some commie defectors

• many defectors from Blue States

With no outside interference, if Patriot civilian volunteers paired off into teams of two and each team defeated at least one of the commies’ paid killers, then the Patriots would win easily. A currency crisis would also sink the left faster, due to their dependence on paid mercs. With outside interference such as UN/ NATO or China or something, it’s a harder call to make.