So... the way it works in US election is that the majority of democratic turnout is in early voting or mail-in. On the other hand, 70% of GOP turnout is on election day and sometimes the first day of early voting. Floriday is a rare state where the GOP trusts mail in enough to use it and then it's among the elderly GOP.
When Donna Brazille said in a recent article that high voter turnout favors the democrats (BS) what she was leaving out was EARLY. EARLY Voter turnout favors the democrats. That's when they push out their voters by going door to door to "harass" them to vote, drive them over, or lure them out with free food (Souls to the Polls).
Democrats have always had a problem getting their voters to turn out. It's like herding cats. They need to bribe them, scare (republicans gonna "put ya'll back in chains") or out right ship them over. Their voters will almost never actually show up on election day without someone dragging them over.
Due to this, pundits and people who read the tea leaves are able to gage the size of the democratic turnout out well in advance by looking at early vote turnout.
Remember, most democrats turn out early, not on election day. When MSN is screaming about 2022 having low voter turnout, what they mean is "OUR BASE IS NOT TURNING OUT".
No one can know the size of the red wave until election day. They can only gage the size of the blue turnout. If it's this low and the GOP's swamps the polls on ED, then it will be a red tsunami. Things have to stay within a certain margin of cheat and some states (like Florida) have gutted the cheat machine. It no longer functions.
With blue turnout this critically low, one large red wave will be absolute disaster for democrats. They are extremely vulnerable. Their low, low turnout means that even just a little red wave would wipe them out of many offices. And a big one would be decimation.
Now the big IF is GOP turnout on ED.
GOP voters are very reliable voters. So I have no doubt they'll show up.
So... the way it works in US election is that the majority of democratic turnout is in early voting or mail-in. On the other hand, 70% of GOP turnout is on election day and sometimes the first day of early voting. Floriday is a rare state where the GOP trusts mail in enough to use it and then it's among the elderly GOP.
When Donna Brazille said in a recent article that high voter turnout favors the democrats (BS) what she was leaving out was EARLY. EARLY Voter turnout favors the democrats. That's when they push out their voters by going door to door to "harass" them to vote, drive them over, or lure them out with free food (Souls to the Polls).
Democrats have always had a problem getting their voters to turn out. It's like herding cats. They need to bribe them, scare (republicans gonna "put ya'll back in chains") or out right ship them over. Their voters will almost never actually show up on election day without someone dragging them over.
Due to this, pundits and people who read the tea leaves are able to gage the size of the democratic turnout out well in advance by looking at early vote turnout.
Remember, most democrats turn out early, not on election day. When MSN is screaming about 2022 having low voter turnout, what they mean is "OUR BASE IS NOT TURNING OUT".
No one can know the size of the red wave until election day. They can only gage the size of the blue turnout. If it's this low and the GOP's swamps the polls on ED, then it will be a red tsunami. Things have to stay within a certain margin of cheat and some states (like Florida) have gutted the cheat machine. It no longer functions.
With blue turnout this critically low, one large red wave will be absolute disaster for democrats. They are extremely vulnerable. Their low, low turnout means that even just a little red wave would wipe them out of many offices. And a big one would be decimation.
Now the big IF is GOP turnout on ED.
GOP voters are very reliable voters. So I have no doubt they'll show up.