Technically nobody calls it - the votes decide. AP can call all they want but if enough votes break for Lake she wins. More likely a recount could be triggered but I don't know what Arizona's threshold is. Really, the only race that is ever legally called is the Presidential race, and that is only because the Electoral College votes and declares the winner.
"projects" so they havent called it yet?
No, pretty much every news outlet is calling it. Just Fox did in 2020, one news outlet started it, and all the rest started trickling in.
Twitchy is calling it. Only 2 % left and less than 20000 difference
Technically nobody calls it - the votes decide. AP can call all they want but if enough votes break for Lake she wins. More likely a recount could be triggered but I don't know what Arizona's threshold is. Really, the only race that is ever legally called is the Presidential race, and that is only because the Electoral College votes and declares the winner.
How often has the AP missed it when calling elections?
Dewey vs. Truman is the biggest. No idea how often though.