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Link Post: The Fight for Arizona Election Trial: Lake v. Hobbs Day 2 - 12/22/2022. RSBN Rumble (rumble.com) 🌵 RHINOS IN AZ 🌵
posted 3 years ago by Q20191776 3 years ago by Q20191776 +240 / -0
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– OverQualified 1 point 3 years ago +1 / -0

His (Nate Silver)methods are public and readily available and repeatable by anyone either side of the aisle. Not saying he's always predicting correctly what eventually happens, but it wouldn't be because he's fudging numbers. That would destroy his business and it would be easily proven.

I'm no fan of his, or his business. It's my opinion though that just because he sometimes predicts outcomes we wouldn't be pleased with, it doesn't mean he's "swamp".

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– MAG768720 2 points 3 years ago +2 / -0

The bottom line is: Is a pollster accurate?

From what I have seen, Silver is not particularly accurate, no matter what his methodology is.

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– OverQualified 2 points 3 years ago +2 / -0

Right. I was speaking to something else though. Namely the intent. I don't think it's nefarious. That's all.

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– MAG768720 2 points 3 years ago +2 / -0

Understood.

Not sure I agree, but can't prove it one way or the other.

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– OverQualified 2 points 3 years ago +2 / -0

I would say the same thing for my own self. I can't prove much. Appreciate the back and forth though. Stay warm, Anon.

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– VictorWayne 2 points 3 years ago +2 / -0

He way oversamples dems. This is how you get the suppression polls trump talked about and basically lays cover for the fraud.

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– OverQualified 1 point 3 years ago +1 / -0

I hadn't heard that about 538 but its definitely biased if that's the case. No bueno, man. No freaking bueno. (⁠ノ⁠ಠ⁠益⁠ಠ⁠)⁠ノ⁠彡⁠┻⁠━⁠┻

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