Considering this in terms of Las Vegas odds. Trump has most likely considered and realized there are no other 'real' GOP contenders for the Speaker of the House position. Before people jump the gun and claim there is certainly other candidate for the Speakership, you are correct. There are other candidates like Andy Bigg and Jim Jordan. However, we have seen in Trump that he seems to pick 'winners' that are sometimes even contrary to his own ideals. Why? This is due to the realization that Trump knows he is most likely not going to affect the outcome of the vote anyway. Did you notice Trump became silent after McCarthy failed to garner the votes after the second round of voting? I believe Trump reevaluated the odds, studied the rules and became more familiar with the process. After this, it appears Trump has decided to remain endorsing McCarthy for Speaker. I'll get to this in a moment, but first correctly picking the winner, despite the ideology, has 'political capital'. This is really seeing Sun Tsu tactics in action. By supporting McCarthy, Trump in the least shows McCarthy that he supported him and can even claim he helped McCarthy to win. It positions Trump to be in better standing with the inevitable candidate. Do I agree with this tactic? No. I am far more ideological and could never be in politics. Have you noticed how public Trump is in supporting McCarthy? Even Don Trump Jr. after being off the radar map for a while has suddenly and very publicly joined his father endorsing McCarthy. It sure seems like a clarion signal that obsequiously says-- "Look, we Trumps are supporting you" in the hopes of getting political capital in return. From my involvement in politics, I found it to be detestable, slimy, and upsetting. I wanted to take a shower after every caucus. Unfortunately, being an idealist in politics never seems to work. It's all about cutting deals. IMHO, Trump already knows this.
It appears there is a road block keeping McCarthy from getting the nomination. However, he is still by far the most likely candidate to succeed. With the trickle of defectors going to Jim Jordan, it is not nearly enough momentum at this time to prevent the inevitable. Trump's pause in supporting McCarthy was to see if McCarthy was still the best contender to win. After reviewing the rules and process, Trump reaffirmed his support for McCarthy. IMHO, this is the reason why Don Trump, Jr. was activated to help reaffirm this message publicly to McCarthy. I recently learned that 218 are not needed to win the Speaker's chair, only a majority is needed. This majority has to surpass Jeffries' 212 votes he has from the demonrats though. The likely scenario is McCarthy cuts major deals with the freedom caucus to garner the necessary votes to get him elected.
Considering this in terms of Las Vegas odds. Trump has most likely considered and realized there are no other 'real' GOP contenders for the Speaker of the House position. Before people jump the gun and claim there is certainly other candidate for the Speakership, you are correct. There are other candidates like Andy Bigg and Jim Jordan. However, we have seen in Trump that he seems to pick 'winners' that are sometimes even contrary to his own ideals. Why? This is due to the realization that Trump knows he is most likely not going to affect the outcome of the vote anyway. Did you notice Trump became silent after McCarthy failed to garner the votes after the second round of voting? I believe Trump reevaluated the odds, studied the rules and became more familiar with the process. After this, it appears Trump has decided to remain endorsing McCarthy for Speaker. I'll get to this in a moment, but first correctly picking the winner, despite the ideology, has 'political capital'. This is really seeing Sun Tsu tactics in action. By supporting McCarthy, Trump in the least shows McCarthy that he supported him and can even claim he helped McCarthy to win. It positions Trump to be in better standing with the inevitable candidate. Do I agree with this tactic? No. I am far more ideological and could never be in politics. Have you noticed how public Trump is in supporting McCarthy? Even Don Trump Jr. after being off the radar map for a while has suddenly and very publicly joined his father endorsing McCarthy. It sure seems like a clarion signal that obsequiously says-- "Look, we Trumps are supporting you" in the hopes of getting political capital in return. From my involvement in politics, I found it to be detestable, slimy, and upsetting. I wanted to take a shower after every caucus. Unfortunately, being an idealist in politics never seems to work. It's all about cutting deals. IMHO, Trump already knows this.
It appears there is a road block keeping McCarthy from getting the nomination. However, he is still by far the most likely candidate to succeed. With the trickle of defectors going to Jim Jordan, it is not nearly enough momentum at this time to prevent the inevitable. Trump's pause in supporting McCarthy was to see if McCarthy was still the best contender to win. After reviewing the rules and process, Trump reaffirmed his support for McCarthy. IMHO, this is the reason why Don Trump, Jr. was activated to help reaffirm this message publicly to McCarthy. I recently learned that 218 are not needed to win the Speaker's chair, only a majority is needed. This majority has to surpass Jeffries' 212 votes he has from the demonrats though. The likely scenario is McCarthy cuts major deals with the freedom caucus to garner the necessary votes to get him elected.