Uh oh. Warren Buffett dumping Taiwan semiconductors, as well as US Senators buying Puts on Taiwan stocks... HERE WE GO?
(twitter.com)
- N C S W I C -
You're viewing a single comment thread. View all comments, or full comment thread.
Comments (44)
sorted by:
Ukraine is an interesting situation in that they did have time to prepare for years, and they are holding out better than expected. But the flipside is the Russians are not going full throttle and maybe the Russians did underestimate the Ukrainian resolve. The Russians thought that by applying a quick blitz they could apply pressure to force Ukraine to the negotiation table. But what ended up happening was the Russians had vulnerable supply lines and the Ukrainians dug in on the eastern front. Eventually the Russians transitioned to a more war time footing by shortening their supply lines and fighting a more methodical war that Russia is used to.
With that said the conditions for mechanized units to move during winter and fall is difficult in Ukraine. So it would be even more so difficult to try to reach an island like Taiwan.
The Taiwanese have better equipment and better coordination of all their armed forces. However, the Chinese IF they do choose to invade they are going all out and not holding back like the Russians clearly are.
So the Chinese have to decided at what high cost they are willing to incur. Probably much higher casualties than what the Russians have sustained so far in Ukraine.
Which is why I think the Chinese will try the soft approach to wear Taiwan down instead of using blunt force to take over Taiwan.
My take on Ukraine is that Putin knew right from the get go he would be fighting NATO, but especially the US and UK, with Ukraine as merely a proxy. He also knew this would be an economic war as much as a kinetic war. I doubt he ever believed he could end the war quickly by forcing Ukraine to the negotiating table because he understood the criminality and depravity the pedo death cult was hiding there and that they were not going to merely capitulate.
So from the beginning he has fought a careful war, keeping as much of the worlds public sentiment as he could on his side. From the growing list of nations that are moving towards BRICS and this new alternate global financial system, Id say hes winning huge on both the battlefield and the economic war. Even Mexico is making noise in this regard. Mexico siding with Russia? Man cabal youve lost control.
One of the big reasons why Russia is holding back a bit is because they do not want to reveal their entire deck of cards in the event NATO overtly joins. Clearly NATO is involved with Ukrainian units and command. Given what would be exposed I suspect Putin knew that it he would have to explore all options and the conflict would be drawn out. What I think Putin and the Russians were not prepared for was how willing NATO and Ukrainian high command would be to trade Ukrainian lives for time. But that shows how far the death cult cabal would go to protect what is really going on in Ukraine.
I do agree that Russia is using everything they have which includes economic tools to leverage an outcome that is in their favor. Meanwhile re-aligning geopolitical alliances which will not only ensure that Ukraine is a non functioning State. But in the process ensuring that the petro dollar is weakened and that NATO is depleted or defanged.
So the SMO to demilitarize Ukraine is also having an effect on weakening NATO's offense capabilities. I am not sure if Russia anticipated the weakening of NATO. But Russia remained flexible enough to take advantage of the overt over aggressiveness of NATO countries that try to prop up this proxy war with Russia.