Siege of Avdiivka: Russian Forces Cut All the Supply and Reinforcement Routes for the Ukrainians, in a Move to Encircle the City
(www.thegatewaypundit.com)
💥 UKRAINE COLLAPSE 💥
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Tell the farm they need better DS BS then this.
Dude, I'm sorry, but you cited the Gateway Pundit. I'm not sure anyone who works there knows that Russia has tried to take this city since last year
They've tried multiple times to encircle the city this year, going back to March.
They are running into the same problems the Ukrainians are running into elsewhere. When the defensive force is well prepared, you need a LOT of firepower to make gains. A Russian Military blogger was saying today unless they can muster 5x or 10x offensive power, they shouldn't attack.
A BTR-50 APC was destroyed near Avdiivka. Search that on twitter to see why that's significant.
Khe sanh was well fortified also. Had Charlie stayed longer it would have been LBJ's Dien Bin Phu . I will not hold your youth against against you. Time is on Russias side.
Russia has yet to take Avdiivka. Things slowed down last week, but in the past couple of days they making a new push on Avdiivka.
But more importantly, you said two things. You accused me of DS talking points and you said the tables have turned in Ukraine.
I think we can use this as a reality check. Can we try to figure out what is happening vs, say what we what to happen. We can use this as a check. We can see what happens with these two questions
Will Russia have Avdiivka by Jan 1?
If they take Avdiivka, at what cost?
My theory is the Avdiivka is a political rather that a strategic objective. They are trying to take it to have a big "win" before the winter slows things down.
If you were doing an AAR on Avdiivka so far what could you say?
What went well for Russia is they basically launched a sneak attack. They were able to mass a lot of men and equipment and take Ukraine by surprise about 10 days ago.
What didn't go well is they seemed to have lost a lot of men and equipment without much gain in territory. For example Valerii Zaluzhnyi the CIC of Urkanian forces supposedly was in Avdiivika in the past two days to meet with the commanders there. There's video of him walking around.
Another development in Ukraine is the arrival of long distance ATACMS missiles from the US.
Ukraine used them airfields in Berdyansk and Luhansk and hit a large number of helicopters.
This is significant, because Russia is going to have to move their airfields and other targets further from the front.
Ukraine is a dead horse and why they diverted to plan B. Amazing we have two AC Carriers like sitting ducks in a barrel at the time Iran can receive hypersonic missiles. What could possibly go wrong there ?