You are exactly right. Rasmussen is the best one, but that one still understates his strength. As we get closer to Election Day, I normally go to real clear politics and go to the poll internals. The R,D,I break down is my first stop. It should be very close to 34,33,34. And realize that democrats like to say they are republicans to get into and skew polls. Then look how the three vote on hot button issues, including Trump. That will tell you how many democrats are claiming to be republicans.
Very likely voters are the best polls. Next is likely voters. Registered voters is skewed 3-5% democrat. Adults is a waste of time. Any poll that shows Trump within the margin of error or behind is a fake poll.
I am looking to see New York fall into the Trump category. Upstate New York is basically Trump country. He just needs to swing enough in NYC to win the state. They used to like him, but the democrat party told them to hate him. That is falling apart.
You are exactly right. Rasmussen is the best one, but that one still understates his strength. As we get closer to Election Day, I normally go to real clear politics and go to the poll internals. The R,D,I break down is my first stop. It should be very close to 34,33,34. And realize that democrats like to say they are republicans to get into and skew polls. Then look how the three vote on hot button issues, including Trump. That will tell you how many democrats are claiming to be republicans.
Very likely voters are the best polls. Next is likely voters. Registered voters is skewed 3-5% democrat. Adults is a waste of time. Any poll that shows Trump within the margin of error or behind is a fake poll.
I am looking to see New York fall into the Trump category. Upstate New York is basically Trump country. He just needs to swing enough in NYC to win the state. They used to like him, but the democrat party told them to hate him. That is falling apart.