The last time an assassination attempt happened, Reagan won all but one state.
(media.greatawakening.win)
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OK, still.
It's Joe-over.
It is possible that the assassination attempt helped, but life was great in 1984 and it would be foolhardy for any democrat to go up against a very popular President. The Democrats simply threw a sacrificial lamb in the name of Walter Mondale against Ronald Reagan. It didn't help that Mondale promised to raise taxes during his party's convention.