As a retire research scientist I was by extension a total statsfag. These polls they are publishing are beyond fraudulent. I am sure it is not a crime, but I can tell you from EXPERIENCE, their ‘observation gathering’ violates every professional standard there is. I would not be shocked to discover they are recycling, repurposing previous ‘polling expeditions’ and substituting names then calling it a ‘valid’ poll.
These polls are bullshit. I will take a twatter poll with 200K respondents all day long over any of those other bullshit, bought and paid for hacks.
I'll also take Vegas odds over polling any day. That said, when they say an "internal poll shows...", I take those a little more seriously, depending upon context. Polling can be done accurately and I believe those are the ones that are more reliable. But all the other external polls, bunk. Rasmussen is probably the most reliable-ish.
As a retire research scientist I was by extension a total statsfag. These polls they are publishing are beyond fraudulent. I am sure it is not a crime, but I can tell you from EXPERIENCE, their ‘observation gathering’ violates every professional standard there is. I would not be shocked to discover they are recycling, repurposing previous ‘polling expeditions’ and substituting names then calling it a ‘valid’ poll.
These polls are bullshit. I will take a twatter poll with 200K respondents all day long over any of those other bullshit, bought and paid for hacks.
Agree. They lie about the oversampling and the methodologies as well. << Son of a Research Statistician
I always get amused with the idea of ‘over-sampling’.
“Oh you mean that thing that gets us closer and closer to a near zero P-value??? “. 😂😂😂😂
I'll also take Vegas odds over polling any day. That said, when they say an "internal poll shows...", I take those a little more seriously, depending upon context. Polling can be done accurately and I believe those are the ones that are more reliable. But all the other external polls, bunk. Rasmussen is probably the most reliable-ish.
Yep, Rasmussen and Monmouth.