Here we go again Tampa.
(media.greatawakening.win)
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The worst case scenario would be for the eye to pass just to the north of the entrance to Tampa Bay, resulting in maximum surge in the bay. This situation occurred in the mid 1800s, producing an estimated 26 feet or so of surge. Imagine what that kind of surge would do to an area with hundreds of square miles of land less than 20 feet above mean water level today! My mother lives in Bradenton at an elevation of about 18 feet. I don't think her area could get a surge over 20 feet, but it's possible she could have standing water in her place (ground floor of a condo). I believe she is still better off staying, as long as she has a weeks worth of no-cook food, and water. The madness of trying to evacuate with hundreds of thousands of people on the roads doesn't make sense, and no guarantee, unless you totally leave the state, that you will be in a safe area.
Praying for your mom’s safety friend.
Thank you. She turns 93 in December. My sister lives with her to help take care of her (but she is very active and still drives!). I'm hoping the storm rains itself out in the Gulf, so it cuts off its own source of energy, but if it keeps moving east, that won't happen.
Thank goodness your sister is there, that has to be a big piece of mind. Hope for everyone in Florida it’s a fast moving storm and doesn’t linger over the state.
I just checked out the potential storm surge map for the Tampa Bay area, and Cat 3 storm surge would be really devastating! The entire East Coast can be viewed here: https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/203f772571cb48b1b8b50fdcc3272e2c/page/