Of the 565, there were only 4 people we were not able to locate. They had no social media nor internet search information to allow us to locate them. Of the remaining 561, we knew that 32 had died before our 40th reunion. Of the remaining 529, we had contact information from 10 years ago. When we reached out to them to verify the contact information and inform them of the day, time, and location of the reunion, we found that another 227 of them had died and 212 of them died between 2021 and 2024. The stories were eerily similar. Sudden heart attacks or heart disease, cancers diagnosed at stage 3 or worse, and sudden strokes. Of those still alive, a third stated that they would be unable to attend due to recent and severe health situations. I know that this information in anecdotal, but what conclusions would you draw from these numbers. Is this usual health situations for a group of people approaching their 68th birthdays or do you think there is something more to this? I ‘m interested to read your comments.
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As a math teacher/tutor, I can tell you that the calculation method is not that simple, but the results of the correct calculation would be in the same ballpark
S&P was never my forte, and many years removed from that now. I’m just glad it’s ballpark! Forgot the precise equation for p(x) -> 565 pick 259, or whatever it is.
I hope you find this helpful. https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and-statistics/expected-value/
By the way, if you saw the Died Suddenly movie, do you remember how many standard deviations they said it was from the norm?
I did not see it, but may add it to my list.