As Sundance would say, "they are going into Panda mode" and out of the "Dragon" that they have been showing. Very good analysis, I appreciate your time and knowledge share. I agree with all said. My son graduated Princeton with an East Asian Studies degree and he spent a year in Beijing teaching at the University prior to starting Medical School. Unfortunately he is terribly liberal but I have an interest in all things China due to his training. I'm guessing you think Belt and Road will continue as soon as the world gets lulled back into comfort.
Been a China watcher for years. I agree with the Panda mode approach. That is exactly what I think they will do. They have to reverse course in an attempt to save themselves. And I mean the CCP and not the Chinese people. The CCP could care less about the Chinese people. They are simply leaks to be harvested and are disposable as far as the CCP is concerned.
As far as the BRI, like much of the tofu dreg construction in China, the BRI is showing its own cracks. Some nations are already pulling back on contracts. The Taliban just canceled a contract with China on a BRI project and is looking to the West for investment. The Taliban are saying that the Chinese failed to meet contractual obligations and therefore they are cancelling the contract. Some African nations are also entertaining pulling back. The BRI is not delivering what was promised. Projects are either rotten tail unfinished, never started, or defective. In addition, the projects have not provided employment or economic returns that the investments promised. These countries are finding themselves with huge debt and little to show for it. It is all controlled by the Chinese and the local populations have started to resent the takeover. The Baloch in Pakistan have taken up arms against the BRI Pakistan/China economic corridor operations. That corridor is a huge part of China's Western routes plan and expansion to secure energy and trade apart from the Malacca Straights. There have been even a few Chinese workers killed in various countries and Chinese property destroyed. People are not happy.
Besides, China is running out of money and cannot make the investments like they did a few years ago. The amounts of money promised lately in some deals are only a small fraction of what they once were. Most of these countries go to the summits or visit China looking for more money. It is a bottomless pit. I think the new leadership are going to try to find ways to scale back on BRI because they simply cannot afford it. Some of the investments may already be at risk of loss because the countries were unstable to begin with. China could lose huge amounts of money if the IRGC in Iran should topple. Ouch. That's gonna hurt. Iran has been one of the largest recipients of BRI money. Iran has been a proxy for the CCP and that is part of the reason they have held such a hard line with the US. That is the plan. They were told to blow up any deal Trump tried to make. In addition, it has been China money that ultimately funded many of Iran's proxies. At the moment, it is not looking good for Iran or China. Trump's actions against Iran have them both on the back foot. Putin is also watching which way the wind is blowing. He would much rather deal with Trump than with Xi. Xi looks like he is on his way out anyway - if not completely removed at least severely diminished in power.
There is a lot occuring on the geopolitical scene right now. The world as we knew it is changing fast. Trump will make sure we are left standing and in better shape then before this all started. I hope this answered your inquiries.
Personally, I don't buy into that theory. I have watched China too long to see that even being a thing. Trump and Putin working together - that I can see - but Xi, no way.
What about the whole ...media attacks xi but not the CCP. Soros, Bill Gates all went after Xi but not CCP.
This whole "he's a dictator and he's gaining absolute power" thing - perhaps there's another angle - what if he's using said power to dismantle the CCP
Reminds me of Gorbachev taking down the Soviet communist party
When the Bible speaks of Asia it is really in reference to Asia Minor, not the Far East. Some traditions have a couple of the Apostles making their way to India. But China, no way. They didn't make into Russia either.
As Sundance would say, "they are going into Panda mode" and out of the "Dragon" that they have been showing. Very good analysis, I appreciate your time and knowledge share. I agree with all said. My son graduated Princeton with an East Asian Studies degree and he spent a year in Beijing teaching at the University prior to starting Medical School. Unfortunately he is terribly liberal but I have an interest in all things China due to his training. I'm guessing you think Belt and Road will continue as soon as the world gets lulled back into comfort.
Been a China watcher for years. I agree with the Panda mode approach. That is exactly what I think they will do. They have to reverse course in an attempt to save themselves. And I mean the CCP and not the Chinese people. The CCP could care less about the Chinese people. They are simply leaks to be harvested and are disposable as far as the CCP is concerned.
As far as the BRI, like much of the tofu dreg construction in China, the BRI is showing its own cracks. Some nations are already pulling back on contracts. The Taliban just canceled a contract with China on a BRI project and is looking to the West for investment. The Taliban are saying that the Chinese failed to meet contractual obligations and therefore they are cancelling the contract. Some African nations are also entertaining pulling back. The BRI is not delivering what was promised. Projects are either rotten tail unfinished, never started, or defective. In addition, the projects have not provided employment or economic returns that the investments promised. These countries are finding themselves with huge debt and little to show for it. It is all controlled by the Chinese and the local populations have started to resent the takeover. The Baloch in Pakistan have taken up arms against the BRI Pakistan/China economic corridor operations. That corridor is a huge part of China's Western routes plan and expansion to secure energy and trade apart from the Malacca Straights. There have been even a few Chinese workers killed in various countries and Chinese property destroyed. People are not happy.
Besides, China is running out of money and cannot make the investments like they did a few years ago. The amounts of money promised lately in some deals are only a small fraction of what they once were. Most of these countries go to the summits or visit China looking for more money. It is a bottomless pit. I think the new leadership are going to try to find ways to scale back on BRI because they simply cannot afford it. Some of the investments may already be at risk of loss because the countries were unstable to begin with. China could lose huge amounts of money if the IRGC in Iran should topple. Ouch. That's gonna hurt. Iran has been one of the largest recipients of BRI money. Iran has been a proxy for the CCP and that is part of the reason they have held such a hard line with the US. That is the plan. They were told to blow up any deal Trump tried to make. In addition, it has been China money that ultimately funded many of Iran's proxies. At the moment, it is not looking good for Iran or China. Trump's actions against Iran have them both on the back foot. Putin is also watching which way the wind is blowing. He would much rather deal with Trump than with Xi. Xi looks like he is on his way out anyway - if not completely removed at least severely diminished in power.
There is a lot occuring on the geopolitical scene right now. The world as we knew it is changing fast. Trump will make sure we are left standing and in better shape then before this all started. I hope this answered your inquiries.
I wonder how the theory that Xi is secretly a white hat working with Trump and Putin to eliminate the NWO fits here
Personally, I don't buy into that theory. I have watched China too long to see that even being a thing. Trump and Putin working together - that I can see - but Xi, no way.
What about the whole ...media attacks xi but not the CCP. Soros, Bill Gates all went after Xi but not CCP.
This whole "he's a dictator and he's gaining absolute power" thing - perhaps there's another angle - what if he's using said power to dismantle the CCP
Reminds me of Gorbachev taking down the Soviet communist party
Awesome summation. Thank You!
You are most welcome fren.
This is what I want to hear, China is very dangerous for the world and USA, that’s why Jesus said to his disciples don’t go to Asia. https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Acts%2016%3A6-10&version=ICB Acts 16:6-10
When the Bible speaks of Asia it is really in reference to Asia Minor, not the Far East. Some traditions have a couple of the Apostles making their way to India. But China, no way. They didn't make into Russia either.
Sounds like it.
...the ' realignments ' are far from over
True that fren. Exciting times for sure.