I have a feeling that anything that "turns on" to attack these ships is smoked nearly instantly. For some reason, I just keep picturing Reaper drones with Hellfires hovering overhead, 24 hours a day, just waiting for a Houthi, or other, to light up their missile launch truck or whatever they use. Lights turn on and then BOOM.
Markets always have a knee jerk reaction to events.
I heard about a ship transiting yesterday. The ships had been parked because the Iranians were spoofing the area. Looking at the current ship mapping it appears that the spoofing has been taken off the board.
That's great. The Strait of Hormuz is 21 to 24 miles wide at its narrowest point. The shipping lanes are just 2 miles wide in each direction, with a 2-mile wide buffer zone between them.
That means, from standing on the Iranian shore, the ships going through the Strait of Hormuz are from 10 miles to 16 miles away. Most of those ships (Suez-max) are 950 feet in length and 150 feet in height above water. The largest are over 1000 feet in length.
You think something like that would show up on radar? or be seen with a simple pair of binoculars?
Turning off a transponder doesn't keep you from seeing something the size of a tall skyscraper floating by.
I think the only thing at this point of any concern are those remaining attack boats. But as you stated, anything that Iran attempts to launch will be quickly dealt with. My understanding is that we also have mine sweepers deployed in the area. So for the most part, the US has that area pretty much locked down.
When turning off transponders, the iranians have to turn on active radars to fire in the ship. That is the kiss of death for that radar and missle site Or water borne adversary
I appreciate your wise insights, fren. You are always on top of your game.
Now I am wondering if transponders are turned off for a while and then turned back on with a spoofed AIS showing them as Chinese or another Iranian ally, so Iran has to hesitate before blowing up an ally's ship. The ships may be visibly passing by on the straight, but it may be hard to determine exactly which ships are passing, even if they are sighted via radar, satellite, or the old binoculars from a high vantage point.
Anyways, kind of a cool graphic. It's like watching ants march.
Very nice win.
I have a feeling that anything that "turns on" to attack these ships is smoked nearly instantly. For some reason, I just keep picturing Reaper drones with Hellfires hovering overhead, 24 hours a day, just waiting for a Houthi, or other, to light up their missile launch truck or whatever they use. Lights turn on and then BOOM.
u/#pepenuke
Crude oil back down to 92,it was pushing 120 last night.
Markets always have a knee jerk reaction to events.
I heard about a ship transiting yesterday. The ships had been parked because the Iranians were spoofing the area. Looking at the current ship mapping it appears that the spoofing has been taken off the board.
Oil futures can drop down in a hurry,i owned 1/3 of a contract in 1991. And lost 400 hundred in a day or two.
87 right now.
That's great. The Strait of Hormuz is 21 to 24 miles wide at its narrowest point. The shipping lanes are just 2 miles wide in each direction, with a 2-mile wide buffer zone between them.
That means, from standing on the Iranian shore, the ships going through the Strait of Hormuz are from 10 miles to 16 miles away. Most of those ships (Suez-max) are 950 feet in length and 150 feet in height above water. The largest are over 1000 feet in length.
You think something like that would show up on radar? or be seen with a simple pair of binoculars?
Turning off a transponder doesn't keep you from seeing something the size of a tall skyscraper floating by.
I think the only thing at this point of any concern are those remaining attack boats. But as you stated, anything that Iran attempts to launch will be quickly dealt with. My understanding is that we also have mine sweepers deployed in the area. So for the most part, the US has that area pretty much locked down.
When turning off transponders, the iranians have to turn on active radars to fire in the ship. That is the kiss of death for that radar and missle site Or water borne adversary
Good point. As soon as there is a radar system activated, boom boom out go the lights.
I appreciate your wise insights, fren. You are always on top of your game.
Now I am wondering if transponders are turned off for a while and then turned back on with a spoofed AIS showing them as Chinese or another Iranian ally, so Iran has to hesitate before blowing up an ally's ship. The ships may be visibly passing by on the straight, but it may be hard to determine exactly which ships are passing, even if they are sighted via radar, satellite, or the old binoculars from a high vantage point.
Anyways, kind of a cool graphic. It's like watching ants march.
Looks like the spoofing was dealt with finally. Many ships were parked simply because their navigation wouldn't work.