Iran's Tasnim news agency, a semi-official outlet closely linked with the country's powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, cited an anonymous "senior security source" as saying Wednesday that Tehran could pull out of the ceasefire agreement with the U.S. if Israel continues attacking Lebanon.
While Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Tuesday that Israel did not consider its war against Iranian-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon to be part of the U.S.-Iran agreement, the 10-point Iranian proposal that President Trump called a "workable basis on which to negotiate" when he announced the deal does include that parallel conflict.
According to an English version of a statement by Iran's Supreme National Security Council posted online by Tasnim, the 10 points include "stopping the war on all fronts, including against the heroic Lebanese Islamic resistance [Hezbollah]."
Tasnim quoted its source as saying Wednesday that Tehran was "assessing the possibility of exiting the deal should the Israeli regime persist in its breaches."
"Israel has launched brutal attacks on Lebanon since this morning, flagrantly violating the agreement," Tasnim said.
This so-called cease fire is between us and Iran civilian leadership. The military is controlled by the IRGC and is in such a disarray now that they have been forced to resort to the 31 region doctrine (I forget th name they call it). So getting all 32 regional IRGC commanders all on the same page is going to be hard. Meaning, the civilian leadership has its hand tied regarding any supposed peace deal or cease fire and will most likely use any excuse it can to cover for that fact. Meaning they will most likely use Israel as the excuse, which also means Israel will use any excuse they can to continue targeting Iranian proxies.
Which then means that Trump will have the greenlight to just continue targeting and eliminating the IRGC and Iranian civilian leadership until the Iranian People feel relatively safe enough to take their country back on their own.
I really don't see this 2-week "cease fire" as a viable thing and I don't see a "peace deal" being made with the Iranian leadership it has left because the IRGC is really the party in control.