There is a division between the reformers and the hardliners. But make no mistake. The reformers are not any better than the hardliners. They are just more sophisticated in their approach but they are still cut from the same radical Islamic bolt of cloth. Besides, they have never really been given any real power by the government to do anything other than be a public face - and still don't have power to make decisions on their own. The IRGC is running the country and controls everything. The Iranian people will NOT accept a government run by the same people of the current regime - whether they be reformers or the hardliners. They see absolutely no difference between the two. There is too much blood on all their hands.

The majority of Iranian people have made their choice. They want the crown prince Pahlavi to return and lead a transition government. This choice spans all ethnic groups across Iran. Trump will not come out and publicly endorse the prince so it does not appear as though he is trying to install a US choice. There are supposed to be military defections that have taken place. We shall see if the army steps up when called upon to do so.

Trump has been arming some of the people. Unfortunately, the separatist Kurds in Syria kept some of the weapons. I think they have now burned their bridge with Trump who had been supporting them in the past. The Iranian Kurdish population does not want any interference from the Syrian Kurds. They are not interested in a Kurdish separatist movement. They are Iranian and want to remain part of Iran. Not all Kurds are the same.

This is not my own analysis, but what I am hearing from Iranians on the ground in Iran and expats personally involved in what is taking place in Iran. You will hear none of this telegraphed through main stream sources.