Here is a Chinese insider talking about this, go to 24:30
Remember when President Trump lifted some of the restrictions or dissolved the Taiwan Relations Act? He was removing legal barriers for a occupation of Taiwan forces on China mainland. Also the United States no longer recognizing Communist China as the legitimate government of mainland China. Chairman Xi is working with Putin, Modi form India and President Trump to overthrow the CCP.
Look at all the weapons Taiwan has been buying form the USA.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/17/asia/taiwan-us-f-16-fighter-purchase-intl-hnk-scli/index.html
https://stephenlendman.org/2020/10/trump-regime-approves-large-scale-taiwan-arms-purchase/
https://apnews.com/article/asia-pacific-taiwan-china-e75c3a4449e5251b45a810142ed6cf45
Remember Flynn's brother just put in charge of the Pacific realm.
We have warships in South China sea. Battle ships with ship killer technology.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ji9ErCZm2mc
We have seen planeflag posting evidence of spy planes of the coast of China.
Also, remember all the stories of Chinese troops massing on the Canadian and Mexican borders? All their troops are here and unable to stop the Taiwan invasion. President Xi set this up in preperation of the Taiwan invasion.
So it seems Taiwan will do the ground invasion and the US will assist with naval and air support. Like I said Putin and Modi is also involved. The communists are going down and this will be done before March 1st.
Now, how will this news be accepted by the American people? Everyone knows sleepy Joe has been bought by China, he is a China puppet. Will the American people believe sleepy Joe put this plan together or is our real President still makes the decisions from Florida? This is top kek shit.
its worth noting that while china has a BIG military they don't have a skilled or well equipped military that is willing to be there, their military is majority drafted; think Russian conscripts in ww2 vs volunteer soldiers in ww2; these two groups are not on equal footing and Taiwan would win probably all battles on completely equal footing of same tactics same troop numbers same playing field
note that japan was winning vs china AND a few other countries at the same time basically alone on that front in ww2 before the usa got involved
I also have to think that if you're fighting for Taiwan, you truly believe in your cause, and that means something. If you're fighting for the lives/freedom of your loved ones against someone who is fighting because they are forced to, I know who my money is on.
Besides all that, if Taiwan is using U.S. equipment vs. Chinese using shitty Chinese equipment, that's another thing in favor of Taiwan.
Well trained volunteers cannot overcome 100 to 1, or higher, force differences on the attack.
Taiwan would definitely win all 1 to 1 battles and likely most 3 to 1 battles, but 100 or even 200 to 1 odds are not something anybody but literal demigods can overcome. You would need battalions where ever last man was an Audie Murphy to win.
Event he famous 300 Thermopylae didn't. And there is a few facts there to remember too. 300 was more like 2200, to 3000 because for every full Spartan "noble" he brought with him 5-10 fully trained and battle ready squires and vassals. That the "million man" Persian army was like 300,000 top end based on recent research, and might have been as small as 100,000. And last, they fought DEFENSE, using terrain to their advantage. Of course the histories don't mention the squires and vassals and inflated the size of the Persian army because that was the way of ancient time history, they used poetic license.
The point is, even the most heroic fights of the most determined men, just slow down how quickly they die in 100 to 1 odds.
Twain in turn, faces a modern war, on the OFFENSE. Even today defense is easier than attack, and the attacker always looses more men relatively speaking, and China has more men, but also FAR more heavy equipment like jets and tanks. And this last bit will make all the difference. Even of the Chinese are garbage, which they are, Taiwan alone cannot kill enough of them to win before they are destroyed. They need a bigger army and I can't imagine India, Russia, and for gods no the US Army is going to invade China.
Invasions like the 1st Iraq war won't be so easily repeated too. China might not have the best equipment, but they won't be pitting 1950's era optical gun sights against modern FLIR and nightvision with computer assissted aiming and laser guided weapons against ww2 style manually aimed systems and radars with literal fucking vaccum tubes in their computers. China's might be shitty, but they have computerized weapons, they have guided weapons, they have night vision scopes, they have modern air radars. They have actually kind of everything because what they didn't steal, Bill Clinton sold to them.
Invading China will be a very tough fight. The Chinese are garbage, and will die in droves and droves, but hey have droves more meat bag to hand a shitty gun to, and their equipment is crap, but it sotta kinda works, and even working like shit is good enough when they have 100x as much.
Taiwain cannot win without additional land forces from other nations.
this whole deal is taiwan solo which is impossible to arrive at and impossible to win, if india decided it was a good time to fight too and hopped in too it suddenly becomes an extremely complex wargame to discuss and they after a bit more research myself would definitely hop into a plan like that, not to mention the united states is hanging ships around the area too and would also likely help
Very complex! Can you imagine one country having to fight Russia on their northern front, India on their western front, and US-backed Taiwan on their entire eastern seaboard?!?! China is already surrounded and it hasn’t even started yet. Sun Tzu approves.
the final bit is if this was happening, it would require such a large movement of forces it would be impossible hide.
Sure you can move even 1000 men in secret, but 1 million and all that heavy fighting vehicles needed for a modern war, is a different story.
Units can move stealthy, but Armies cannot be hidden.
China's military quality was abysmal in ww2. They had very severe corruption and leadership issues, a very big lack of any kind of equipment and at the same time Mao was pushing his rebellion. They were under trained and didn't have good supply while
The current China was also fractured into another half dozen warlord states. While a lot of their army now is basically cannon fodder, they still have raw numbers. The biggest issue for Taiwan would be logistics and a supply line. So they can make a foothold a push.
They then have to keep a garrison behind along the entire supply line for where they go through as well as protecting all of their supply coming in from Taiwan. This is only with raw army. This isn't counting the Chinese air force or navy much less the civilians who will be more pissed off than Americans would be over invaders because it's Taiwan doing it.
Taiwan would never be doing this alone, they would at minimum have the assistance of the united states would be my guess, if it even happens
Flynns brother is commander of the pacific ground troops now, but there is too much of the stars aligning for all of this stuff. Sure I can see Modi and Putin supporting it, but I can't see big involvement from them. It would have to be essentially a blitz from a bunch of countries in the area and it couldn't be done and prepared for quickly.
Even if Japan changes its "helicopter destroyers" into the carriers they actually are and helps support, China is tougher than people think. Their people have been severely brainwashed. The entire situation feels like it came out of a Tom Clancy novel with injected hopium
And yet ... months back there was an informal poll on chinese citizens asking what they would do in the case of a US invasion. Interestingly enough, MANY said they would ACTIVELY help the US against CCP. The CCP is loathed in china. Never underestimate that.
Also, keep in mind that they are not a homogenous structure. There is the CCP, the army, and the people all with LARGE divides between them. There has been rumors for the longest time of the very real possibility of the army rising up and eliminating the CCP and installing a new government. IF you were going to invade the US, would use your most "loyal" troops or the least reliable ones? You'd put your best ones in the staging areas. Few people control the nukes and it would easy enough to "crack down on corruption" and move generals around. Generals that could move their own troops around and defend the people against the CCP.
This is actually a workable scenario, far more than most would think.
there is a whole additional discussion in this, what % of the Chinese population are truely brainwashed and how many are afraid to speak and merely just know their place for now; a country like north korea is probably just a single military defeat away from their people rebelling against them as their people clearly hate it and just feel hopeless but leave if the chance arises and all we hear out of north korea itself is the people like it there and there is nothing bad happening, I feel like china is in the same ship but not to the same extent and if the war is not won by china quickly the people in china may decide to side with the attackers if the attackers agree that china goes to taiwan
India.
I cant personally vouch for india's situation as im uneducated on them myself so I chose not to mention them, though yes they would likely join if they had the ability to do so
They need MUCH more than a marine task force and an carrier air wing to pull this off. So I have my doubts.
the chinese navy isn't exactly great, a lot of their ships atm are improvised civ ships presumably for a planned attack on taiwan atm