UTAH: Seth Keshel military data scientist with analysis of 2020 election. Telegram link inside.
(media.greatawakening.win)
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So I guess this all but confirms the Red State that trump won that's going to green light an audit is Utah? Makes sense to me. I can't imagine the Mormons are turning blue anytime soon considering how conservative their culture is. I've always thought Utah and Montana were being targeted similarly to Colorado. They're trying to take over the rockies so as to open up a hole for an invasion from the pacific coast. Kind of hard to do that when you have massive gun toting patriot populations roaming in what is basically the American version of the Alps.
My experience is that LDS is not conservative as people think. Maybe the older ones were.
Many are smug sanctimonious do-gooder virtue-signalling social justice warriors. Governor Cucks chief among them.
Alena Eriksen (Utah Activism) just said in a Telegram post that her sister's Ward leader down around St. George actively supports going door to door to check on who's been vaxxed. Alena has circulated a petition for a state audit, one of the chief reasons being over 200 new election laws on the books over the past decade? I think.
LDS members were actively pushing and promoting the current mayor of Salt Lake City during the last mayoral race. She is a lefty Gender Studies major and has been pretty worthless. She was more concerned about rioters wearing masks than she was of property destruction.
I mean, I imagine that's true to some extent. Look at the catholic church and southern baptist congregation officials. Same story. But the numbers don't lie. Utah is what? 70-80% Mormon? So just based on that fact alone, the overwhelming majority of them HAVE to be conservative for these numbers to work out. I think it's probably more the religious association public officials that are becoming SJWs, because they think that's the "cool" thing to do. Most actual Church/Temple goers are overwhelmingly conservative and in disagreement with the "leaders" on such topics though.
This is why there's a weird shift in religious demographics where people identifying as some form of Christian is at a 100 year high, but church attendance is at a 50 year low. People are leaving morally corrupt churches and congregating online until they can find a church that doesn't pervert God's word. Case in point, Catholics are having a mass exodus with the majority of people converting to Lutheranism, since it's basically Catholicism without the pope and vatican hierarchy belief wise.
I think you're too high. Probably closer to 60%. I live in a neighborhood of approximately 40 houses and only 4 have practicing members in them. That's maybe 22 people between those four homes. I realize that's counting households and not individuals, but still, that number probably surprises you.
I personally know two households who have ceased church attendance solely based on LGBT issues. The LGBT "ally" mentality runs deep in Salt Lake County. I pass by pride flags and BLM stuff routinely.
Just recently I visited a household that I thought consisted of practicing members. They were flying a pride-style "ally" flag out front. I went inside and found a bottle of beer in a cooler (I mention this because that is wildly out of character for a practicing LDS household). I found out from a co-acquaintance of this household that they recently ceased church attendance, seemingly over LGBT "ally" issues.
What I'm intending to say here is: if you're not from Utah, then things are not what you think they are in Utah, especially Salt Lake County.
A work van at my brother's employer was broken into. He posted about it on social media, and someone from out of state commented that she didn't think things like that happened in Utah. I couldn't believe that people think that! Gangs used to refer to Utah as "Disneyland" because they could get away with anything, and that lack of police preparedness is what allowed crime to go unchecked for some time in Utah.
Regarding the majority of members being "conservative," it's sometimes a disassociated kind of conservative. Like, "moral" conservatism. A sort of "it's right to have open borders because it's what Jesus would want" type of thing without recognizing the severe threat of it. This is where we get people like Romney. The "be nice and don't curse" type of moral conservatism, not the resolute and critically observant conservatism that is espoused by individuals such as those we find on this board and supporters of President Trump.
Not to mention the group "Mormon Women for Ethical Government" who took out a billboard in Lehi to thank Mitt Romney for voting to impeach President Trump. And the Marxist CRT that is being taught in some departments at BYU (I can name names on that one). These people seem to subscribe to the SJW faith, and not the LDS faith that was espoused by leaders such as Ezra Taft Benson, who routinely excoriated communism.
UTAH
Trump – 865k (58.13%) Biden – 560k (37.65%)
UT is one of hardest to gage, thanks to poor record keeping (UT registers by party, but not available across counties), the presence of a serious 3rd party challenge in 2016, and Romney’s home state skew. Most accurate comps go back to 2008.
I think UT was a target by central planners – JB has 45k more than Trump ’16; perhaps they anticipated the same 3rd party behavior. DT is 125k past Romney ’12, but Biden’s gains are 250k from Clinton, when previous high gain was Obama ’08 with 87k. Nearly all third party throwaways came from GOP in 2016.
Red – Obviously Ugly (5) Yellow – Suspect/Likely Fraud (8) Green – Clean (16)
Estimates for excess votes based on pop. growth/trends: Salt Lake – 50k Utah – 30k Davis – 20k Weber – 9k Washington – 7k
I estimate 131k excess votes. If accurate, and counting ONLY excess JB vote growth, DT should have won this state about 63.7% to 31.6%, or by 32.1%. JB gain in SLC was 114k, previous high was 31k (Obama ’08).
Telegram link:
https://t.me/c/1564132379/37990
Very nice. I know a thing or two about data myself and I'll be interested in checking this out.
EDIT: apparently I have to be a Telegram member to read this. I'll consider joining. I generally abhor social media. And yes, I recognize the irony of saying that on a social media site.
My own opinion.
With all the STOP the STEAL car rallies here in late 2020, I always felt 58% for Trump was weirdly low. Should have been in the 60% range or higher.
Utah, which has the highest Mormon population, has 5,229 congregations. About 68.55% of the state’s total population is Mormon.