Hes using the right analogy for the wrong purpose. Here he is saying if you saw all that it would be reasonable to conclude it rained. Thats not how that analogy is supposed to be used. You are supposed to say staring with the assumption that it did not rain and you need proof that it did and you walk outside and see all that you could still have doubts as to whether it rained but they would not be reasonable ones.
You mentioned some conditions where it would be reasonable but the analogy assumes everything is wet…cars, streets, buidlings people…its cloudy theres raincoats, umbrellas.
Its basically a way of saying circumstantial evidence CAN be used to convict someone beyond a reasonable doubt. And it has many many times.
A man walks into a bar and see's a beautiful Blonde sitting in the back corner in the dark ,he walks up and offers to buy her a drink and she accepts,they really hit it off all night and she says would you like to come to my place for a night cap and he reply's i would love to,she says meet me in the parking lot i have a black Peugeot,and he reply's I didn't think you were a Blonde.
Hes using the right analogy for the wrong purpose. Here he is saying if you saw all that it would be reasonable to conclude it rained. Thats not how that analogy is supposed to be used. You are supposed to say staring with the assumption that it did not rain and you need proof that it did and you walk outside and see all that you could still have doubts as to whether it rained but they would not be reasonable ones.
You mentioned some conditions where it would be reasonable but the analogy assumes everything is wet…cars, streets, buidlings people…its cloudy theres raincoats, umbrellas.
Its basically a way of saying circumstantial evidence CAN be used to convict someone beyond a reasonable doubt. And it has many many times.
A man walks into a bar and see's a beautiful Blonde sitting in the back corner in the dark ,he walks up and offers to buy her a drink and she accepts,they really hit it off all night and she says would you like to come to my place for a night cap and he reply's i would love to,she says meet me in the parking lot i have a black Peugeot,and he reply's I didn't think you were a Blonde.