After wavering back and forth for a month or two, I made the choice to bet on the election. All the shit I have talked, all the reading I have done, it’s something I have to do. Putting my money where my mouth is.
I do believe that the algorithms will be defeated like in 2016, and Trump is going to win in a landslide. Something like 120 million to 40 million. We won’t see it happen. We won’t see any of it. Just like 2016. It’s going to look like a normal election. The numbers are going to be so absolutely catastrophic, that it would take months for democrats to rig up enough ballots to cheat. I am convinced that is how the election will be secured. If you apply a 1/3 conversion rate to the votes last time, which is the theorized mathematical model used to convert votes via Hammer and Scorecard, Trump wins by 40 million. Or more.
We tend to focus so hard on the ballots under the table. When instead we should focus on how it was possible to win by only tens of thousands of these fraudulent votes. They should have needed 40+ million. The algorithm got them close enough that they could come up with fake ballots in the day or two that was delayed after the “water pipe” break.
So, I’m using Predictit and slowly building up a bet. Right now my potential payoff is around 500$. I am going to keep adding to it until I hit whatever their max bet is. I believe it caps at 800$, which would equate to about a 1400$ payout at this time.
You can bet many places. This is not an ad for predictit. Just the place I chose. In my mind, this isn’t really even a bet. It’s free money. I believe that everything we have seen over the last 7 years demonstrates 100% that there is an operation. The Bush letters, the sword dance, Pelosi at the inauguration, the cannon salute at Arlington, the 80k plus survey flights, the emergency phone message test, the red folder, the ghost in the machine. All of it.
Are you convinced that you are right? That this is real? If so, why not put a wager? Even if it’s 5 bucks; 5 bucks is 5 bucks.
It’s just one more thing I can rub the liberals faces when Trump wins in a historic landslide and resets politics completely for the next 100 years.
Edit- obviously, don’t bet money you don’t have. This is play money to me, not my mortgage. But if you have a few bucks, I think the odds are absolutely dogshit right now, in favor of the bettor.
If you apply the same margin of error as 2016 and 2020 in the polling, Trump is already in landslide territory.
Who the F has money to gamble with? 🙄🙄🙄
I threw a fucking fit a few years ago when inflation was 7% and my raise was 5%. I printed out charts and told my boss that it wasn’t fair to expect me to do the same amount of work, or more, for less pay. In fact, I have of course been doing more work. That’s the way it goes.
If they wanted to cut my pay, then I expected to be able to deliver less work. Fair is fair. I am very good at my job, reliable, and generate traceable revenue. Since I am not worth paying the same or more, I don’t feel the need to generate the same or more revenue.
The following year, and since then, my raises have beaten nominal inflation. Of course, realistically, they haven’t kept up with actual inflation. But they have been probably better than the majority of the workforce.
I also have a paid off car, no kids, and a reasonable mortgage. I am fortunate to have a good boss who went to bat for me, and a low cost of living.
Good for you 👍
Many aren't so lucky... Most companies want to completely own you these days.
As I often have to explain to my wife. Many people have more money than we do. ;-)