You know, just to make sure it came from the 'lone gunman'...
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It could be done. Trump’s exact head angle can be ascertained due to the many video angles being taken at the time, including all the cell phones. The shot was obviously parallel or incredibly close to parallel to the head angle. And the bullet picture would give the elevation angle, adjusting for the small gravity drop on the angle.
There’s some speculation about the water tower as a shooter location.
no depth analysis but it seemed to me the "vapor Trail" was a little low to be the one that hit him.