He's one of many "mathematical" predictors. I think lichtman has the best track record because he only got gore vs bush wrong from Reagan to now. The guesses these people make are simply that, well informed/calculated guesses. (Iirc in case you are curious lichtman said recently Kamala had a slight edge on his model.)
Has he been right in the past?
He's one of many "mathematical" predictors. I think lichtman has the best track record because he only got gore vs bush wrong from Reagan to now. The guesses these people make are simply that, well informed/calculated guesses. (Iirc in case you are curious lichtman said recently Kamala had a slight edge on his model.)
No.
He predicted Hilary.
u/#what