I have a background in mathematics and statistical analysis.
In 2020, I spent many hours doing an analysis on the votes, factoring in multiple elements including voter fraud (of course), trends, registered voters, and many, many other factors.
I was positive that President Trump won over 40 states.
As all of you know, much has changed in 4 years. Kamala's support is an illusion driven by social media, cable news, legacy media and corrupt polling companies.
I would not be surprised if DJT's support among American adult citizens is indeed in the 70% range. The question is whether or not they can hide that likely fact.
100% agree. My litmus is/are the twatter/X polls. Especially the ones generated by Biden and Harris sycophants. Only observing polls with 250,000+ respondents it is damned near ALWAYS Trump 68% +/- 2%. Every single time.
"Bias", of course, is always the "yeah, but ..." bullshit dismissive. While I do not discount bias, when you have a quarter million observations ... the alpha and beta errors shrink dramatically. Hell, even if you apply a 10% error rate (not really possible with a public poll of that size, but OK) you still get TRUMP 58%. Worst case scenario.
I have a background in mathematics and statistical analysis.
In 2020, I spent many hours doing an analysis on the votes, factoring in multiple elements including voter fraud (of course), trends, registered voters, and many, many other factors.
I was positive that President Trump won over 40 states.
As all of you know, much has changed in 4 years. Kamala's support is an illusion driven by social media, cable news, legacy media and corrupt polling companies.
I would not be surprised if DJT's support among American adult citizens is indeed in the 70% range. The question is whether or not they can hide that likely fact.
100% agree. My litmus is/are the twatter/X polls. Especially the ones generated by Biden and Harris sycophants. Only observing polls with 250,000+ respondents it is damned near ALWAYS Trump 68% +/- 2%. Every single time.
"Bias", of course, is always the "yeah, but ..." bullshit dismissive. While I do not discount bias, when you have a quarter million observations ... the alpha and beta errors shrink dramatically. Hell, even if you apply a 10% error rate (not really possible with a public poll of that size, but OK) you still get TRUMP 58%. Worst case scenario.