So which way will Xi be pushed? Will he come to the negotiating table or will this become a kinetic war with Taiwan being the first target since they’ve war gamed that area so much?
Most analysts say China can only make a move in April or October due to sea conditions.
If China starts withering economically, they can pass off a lot of that pain to the rest of the world by attacking Taiwan, who produces the vast vast majority of high-end chips in the world.
I've read that one US strategy on the table if China tries to take Taiwan will be for the United States to bomb those chipmaking factories so that they don't fall into the hands of (exclusively) China.
It is incredibly difficult and expensive to build one of those factories.
China: Only October and April have sea conditions calm enough for China to make a move to take Taiwan. And at the same time, because of these new tariffs against them, they will never again be more 'economically secure' than they are right now.Remember: military power is predicated (depends) on economic power. Period. From now on it's all downhill for the CCP and their economy. If they're going to make a move on Taiwan, they have to do it now (April), or maybe this October, or never. But every day that goes by, they will become weaker.
Keep in mind friends, the dangerous animal is cornered. That's when it's the most dangerous.
What are the chances that instead of a kinetic war, they spread Disease X, a mutated bacteria that is antibiotic resistant in order to decimate our economy?
WE shoul also remember that Taiwan, for being a Medium sized Island, is a Powerhouse Militarily....
It would be stupid to do an Amphibious Landing without first Softening up the Beach with massive bombing....
But to begin massive Bombing, China would need to use Ships, Missiles, AND Jets, an Taiwan has lots of Missiles exactly for those purposes, to the point that China s guaranteed to lose most of their Ships, all of their Jets, and would have to simply write off their Missiles as a loss....
In Retaliation, Taiwan simply needs to get a few Jets into the air afterward, and head to the The Three Gorges Dam, Two Air to Ground Missiles into the Dam, and Two behind it IN the Water, an the whole thing comes down in less than three Minutes.....
A massive wall of Water will Flood the Valley, and as it goes further Down stream, it will kill off about 400 Million Chinese people, along with some 90% of their factories an their Entire Business Districts....
IF Taiwan cannot get Jets to Do that, they have alternate methods, of getting troops with explosives to the dam, think of the Movie a Bridge too far....
All it takes is a small Platoon sized Force, and a Month of time, to make that happen....
Yeah right...Grok told me earlier this week, on Monday, that Tuesday's date was April 10th. I kindly corrected him, and he admitted his mistake, saying something along the line of, oh, yes, you are correct, my bad..... Grok is still learning and so are you.
Also, remember that if AI knows about any countries actual secret mil tech then they are in trouble. Logic would tell you that if a county (Taiwan) has the most advanced tech they are militarily superior to a country that has some of the most inferior tech (China) (of all the super power nations). Not to mention we are backing them up. If China were to attack Taiwan and somehow get the upper hand we would crush them. Taiwan isn't shit hole 3rd world Ukraine and China isn't Russia.
China can't take Taiwan. Do you think a country that builds the most advanced chips in the world doesn't also have extremely advanced weapons?
There's a big difference between "can't" and "won't try."
The United States arguably has the most sophisticated weapons in the world, but NOT the most sophisticated chip tech.
They have the best chipmaking tech.
We have (arguably) the best weapons tech.
While they go hand-in-hand, it's not a zero sum game.
Ultimately, the reason I think China might be stupid and desperate enough to TRY to take Taiwan is because Trump said on the topic: 'that's coming, just watch.'
Q: 'Has POTUS ever made a statement that didn't turn out to be true?'
If China attacks Taiwan, and we blow up the chipmaking factories to keep them out of China's hands, the world is going to suffer a bit technologically for a while, but THEN it will be the United States that ultimately comes out on top as the world's best chipmaker.
I could go on and on, but based on the above reasons I outlined, I think it's likely they might be stupid and desperate enough to try.
The United States will ultimately benefit the most while bringing about the CCP's ruin.
I think it's likely they might be stupid and desperate enough to try.
Yep , as a last ditch effort to maintain control they will take the peasants to war, using the external to distract from the internal. Rulers been doing it forever and that's where the Money Masters of the Universe got it from. Sucks to be Taiwan again with all those Chinese interlopers
The book China the rising power 2009. Predicted war with China by 2025. The problems she identified as to china's major problems are almost all internal. First China will vacate their colonial belts and roads initiative which American consumers finance through purchase of Chinese goods. As China pulls back we will be exposed to the big lie about Chinese population numbers. China has an aging work force, big issues from the former one child policy, dissatisfaction at tje elite level with communist rulership, among many things are china's declining catalyst. Of course China wants to lay it all on the tarriffs. China has been tearing down entire cities for the past 7 years. We have not been told everything about China by a stretch.
So which way will Xi be pushed? Will he come to the negotiating table or will this become a kinetic war with Taiwan being the first target since they’ve war gamed that area so much?
That's the million dollar question.
Most analysts say China can only make a move in April or October due to sea conditions.
If China starts withering economically, they can pass off a lot of that pain to the rest of the world by attacking Taiwan, who produces the vast vast majority of high-end chips in the world.
I've read that one US strategy on the table if China tries to take Taiwan will be for the United States to bomb those chipmaking factories so that they don't fall into the hands of (exclusively) China.
It is incredibly difficult and expensive to build one of those factories.
🤔 Can their economy last until October?
Exactly u/BooniesRedneck
I wrote this three days ago:
What are the chances that instead of a kinetic war, they spread Disease X, a mutated bacteria that is antibiotic resistant in order to decimate our economy?
I missed this post somehow. Ok, so April then, which makes sense since it also appears that Xi is facing some opposition within his own government.
WE shoul also remember that Taiwan, for being a Medium sized Island, is a Powerhouse Militarily....
It would be stupid to do an Amphibious Landing without first Softening up the Beach with massive bombing....
But to begin massive Bombing, China would need to use Ships, Missiles, AND Jets, an Taiwan has lots of Missiles exactly for those purposes, to the point that China s guaranteed to lose most of their Ships, all of their Jets, and would have to simply write off their Missiles as a loss....
In Retaliation, Taiwan simply needs to get a few Jets into the air afterward, and head to the The Three Gorges Dam, Two Air to Ground Missiles into the Dam, and Two behind it IN the Water, an the whole thing comes down in less than three Minutes.....
A massive wall of Water will Flood the Valley, and as it goes further Down stream, it will kill off about 400 Million Chinese people, along with some 90% of their factories an their Entire Business Districts....
IF Taiwan cannot get Jets to Do that, they have alternate methods, of getting troops with explosives to the dam, think of the Movie a Bridge too far....
All it takes is a small Platoon sized Force, and a Month of time, to make that happen....
We could see China become Northeast Taiwan....
China can't take Taiwan. Do you think a country that builds the most advanced chips in the world doesn't also have extremely advanced weapons?
Grok says you’re wrong. Also, quantity over quality. Taiwan has some integration issues between their tech and US tech.
Yeah right...Grok told me earlier this week, on Monday, that Tuesday's date was April 10th. I kindly corrected him, and he admitted his mistake, saying something along the line of, oh, yes, you are correct, my bad..... Grok is still learning and so are you.
Also, remember that if AI knows about any countries actual secret mil tech then they are in trouble. Logic would tell you that if a county (Taiwan) has the most advanced tech they are militarily superior to a country that has some of the most inferior tech (China) (of all the super power nations). Not to mention we are backing them up. If China were to attack Taiwan and somehow get the upper hand we would crush them. Taiwan isn't shit hole 3rd world Ukraine and China isn't Russia.
Don't you think they've been researching and working diligently on Laser Tech???
I'd bet they have Military Laser Tech that rivals our own, but they keep it very Quiet, so as to not scare off their Prey....
There's a big difference between "can't" and "won't try."
The United States arguably has the most sophisticated weapons in the world, but NOT the most sophisticated chip tech.
While they go hand-in-hand, it's not a zero sum game.
Ultimately, the reason I think China might be stupid and desperate enough to TRY to take Taiwan is because Trump said on the topic: 'that's coming, just watch.'
Q: 'Has POTUS ever made a statement that didn't turn out to be true?'
If China attacks Taiwan, and we blow up the chipmaking factories to keep them out of China's hands, the world is going to suffer a bit technologically for a while, but THEN it will be the United States that ultimately comes out on top as the world's best chipmaker.
I could go on and on, but based on the above reasons I outlined, I think it's likely they might be stupid and desperate enough to try.
The United States will ultimately benefit the most while bringing about the CCP's ruin.
We have (arguably) the best weapons tech.
Russia would beg to differ.
Yep , as a last ditch effort to maintain control they will take the peasants to war, using the external to distract from the internal. Rulers been doing it forever and that's where the Money Masters of the Universe got it from. Sucks to be Taiwan again with all those Chinese interlopers
Ok, so now explain what China would do if Taiwan in Retaliations, removed just 1/4th of the The Three Gorges Dam???
Then what???
OOOOPPPS, China just became Northeast Taiwan.....
The book China the rising power 2009. Predicted war with China by 2025. The problems she identified as to china's major problems are almost all internal. First China will vacate their colonial belts and roads initiative which American consumers finance through purchase of Chinese goods. As China pulls back we will be exposed to the big lie about Chinese population numbers. China has an aging work force, big issues from the former one child policy, dissatisfaction at tje elite level with communist rulership, among many things are china's declining catalyst. Of course China wants to lay it all on the tarriffs. China has been tearing down entire cities for the past 7 years. We have not been told everything about China by a stretch.
They, the CCP, cannot Risk a Kinetic War with Taiwan, especially now, or they could become The Northeast Taiwan Province....