The likelihood of a full "crash" or collapse of the U.S. Dollar (USD) in 2026 — meaning a sudden, catastrophic loss of value, hyperinflation, or end of its global reserve status — is extremely low, based on current economic forecasts and market consensus as of mid-January 2026.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the USD against a basket of major currencies, is currently trading around 99 (near multi-month lows after a roughly 9-10% decline in 2025, its weakest year in over a decade). Major institutions like Morgan Stanley, J.P. Morgan, and others project a volatile but managed path for 2026: most expect a further weakening in the first half (potentially dipping to the low-90s, around 92-94), driven by continued Federal Reserve rate cuts (targeting 3-3.5% by year-end), narrowing interest rate differentials with other economies, and fiscal/policy uncertainties. However, this is followed by a likely rebound in the second half, potentially back toward 99-100 or higher, supported by resilient U.S. growth, fiscal stimulus (e.g., tax cuts and spending bills), sticky inflation requiring higher-for-longer rates, and the dollar's safe-haven status during global stress. Overall, forecasts describe a downward bias with choppy volatility, not a straight-line crash — many see the dollar ending 2026 modestly lower but resilient, with structural advantages (e.g., dominance in global trade, reserves at ~57%, and no viable immediate alternative) preventing a true collapse.
Risks to further weakness exist, including accelerated Fed easing if growth slows sharply (e.g., recession probability ~35% per J.P. Morgan), debt ceiling fights, an AI/tech sector bust triggering margin calls and outflows, or gradual de-dollarization efforts by BRICS nations (e.g., local-currency trade, gold accumulation). These could amplify volatility or extend downside, but experts emphasize they are unlikely to trigger a systemic collapse this year — the dollar's hegemony faces long-term pressures but remains firmly intact in the near term. This is not financial advice; currency markets are inherently unpredictable and influenced by evolving data, geopolitics, and policy shifts.
In Germany it´s now called a fake in the trustworthy alternative media. I´m not an expert so let´s wait and see. As I´ve acquired physical Ag and Au since 2010, stopped that five years ago, I see myself on the safe side.
Oh yeah... that trustworthy German media...
Still jailing 90yr old holohoax deniers???
"trustworthy alternative media" We have that, too. :-)) And so far our MSM don´t jail people. However, when I reflect on it...
JNews you can trust!We can only hope and pray.
You're much more optimistic than I am after studying history...
This is going to take decades and I'm not certain this population has it in them to see it all the way through...
But they said that about "the greatest generation" in the 1920s before they grew up quick and did WW2... so maybe there's hope.
I will soon be 73 and have been very interested in history, politics, and geography since I was 16. Until well into my 40s, I was on the same wavelength as official historiography. I think that this is what enabled me to recognize the cracks in the matrix.
As a rule, massive historical changes take a very long time, but sometimes the world is turned upside down in an incredibly short period of time. For me, an incredibly short period of time is 40 years.
The first of these periods for me is from 1780 to 1820, in short: the French Revolution, Napoleon I, the political reorganization of North America, and finally the restoration of the monarchies in Europe.
The second period for me is from 1890 to 1930, in short: the planning and execution of the destruction of the three empires through war and its financing by FIAT money (Fed; under the gold standard, the war would have had to end by 1915 at the latest due to a lack of financing), the fragmentation of the European states with subsequent civil wars, the impoverishment of large sections of the population, and thus the seeds for the next war.
The victory of the global deep state seemed certain until the third period began in 1990, in a nutshell from 2016: Starting with the collapse of the Eastern Block which lead to the current situation. Withdrawal of the US to the Americas (cooperation of the US and Russia), destruction of international control structures (EU, NATO, UN with World Bank, IMF, etc.), crash of the FIAT money system ...
In summary, after years of anger and doubt, I say:
I trust the plan.
And I hope to live to see the first positive developments.