Going through the news I missed on here yesterday (was busy all day), I noticed a post about how 20% of all jobs are supposedly going to be replaced by AI like chatgpt or some other horse crap.
So I'm just going to point out, that can't happen for a multitude of reasons. First and foremost, if we allow literally one fifth or more of jobs to be replaced without replacing them with similar or better paying jobs, then all we'll be doing is pushing people closer to socialist policies like UBI. Which is the exact opposite of what we want, since we're fighting against socialism and communism right now aren't we?
Second of all, as many people have pointed out on this topic, even super advanced AI are incapable of actual human thinking. They more or less copy the "machine thinking" of the left half of the brain, but are always incapable of "out of the box thinking" of the right half of the brain. Ergo, AI are incapable of coming up with non standardized solutions to any given problem.
For example, assume you're using an AI to monitor and run a vehicle assembly line. Well somewhere along the line, a failure happens that results an unexpected problem. The AI can neither account for this or fix it.
Thirdly, it represents a mass security risk in pretty much every industry. Let me paint a picture for you guys. Let's assume this happens like people seem to think it will. Nearly every office/desk job is eliminated and replaced by an AI. Alright, so now your banking is controlled by a computer with minimal human input. Now there just so happens to be a rather intelligent adidas adorned man in Moldova targeting your bank. He uploads a virus through a backdoor (which has happened before in real life) and now suddenly this magical AI is corrupted.
So now every time you or anyone else make a deposit, this adidas clad Moldovan gets to skim 10% of the top of your deposit. And because the bank has laid off all their office workers, there's a grand total of 100 people "monitoring" the accounts of thousands, possibly millions of people. And before anyone mentions this, I'm CERTAIN these hackers will figure out how to bypass any secondary or tertiary AI based security these businesses may have. Nothing is full proof for more than a year when it comes to technology.
Now take my bank example, and apply it to literally anything. Banks, hospitals, government institutions, Gas and oil lines, airlines, etc. etc.
See why AI can't be mass adopted as a replacement for humans? There's too many problems with it, most of which CAN'T be solved no matter how hard we try since some nefarious person fueled by greed will always be there to prevent it from being full proof. Don't get me wrong, I'm sure SOME jobs will be replaced by AI in the name of efficiency. But nowhere near the 20%+ that some seem to be projecting. And it certainly won't replace every desk job in existence. It will also probably create some new jobs to replace the jobs eliminated since all of the problems I've mentioned will create an entirely new industry revolving around AI maintenance and problem shooting.
And beyond all of this, there's one crucial factor EVERYONE seems to overlook. The human factor. Humans, generally speaking, prefer interacting with other humans. It's why people still go to walmart and other physical stores. We CRAVE interaction with other humans. We're a social species at our very base. So using AI to replace humans in a fifth of all human interactions wouldn't go over well in the long term.
Ever play Death Stranding? They touch on this in the game. Won't go into to detail, but basically, when humans don't interact with other humans for extended periods of time, we stop producing certain hormones. This causes us to not only go into bouts of extreme depression, but to also start experiencing suicidal thoughts, and eventually (assuming you don't kill yourself) start experiencing hallucinations and manic episodes of delirium.
Basically, you go crazy. So all of this "advancement" pushing for less human contact, is more cabal crap. And if we let it happen, then the cabal still wins, even if they lose the war against us.
Therefore, it's pretty much impossible for all of these "predictions and projections" about AI usage to come to fruition in the future. Otherwise, there's no point in fighting the war we're fighting right now if we're still just going to end up with a depressed antisocial, and unemployed population whose reliant on daddy government for a UBI check to maintain our meager existence in the socialist dystopia created by our cyber overlords.
A good point for discussion, but unlikely. Every time technology has come on the scene to increase efficiency, it has been a net loss of jobs to the economy. This time is no different. True, people will try driving taxis or making sandwiches to compensate, but there is no possibility that more than a few AI technicians will be needed to replace the millions of jobs lost. If that were not true, the AI would be discarded in favor of cheaper humans.
What is true is that a smaller and smaller group of people will have access to jobs, and that more and more will be left unemployed and forced to do menial services to scrape by. Previously, this was limited to blue collar factory workers, so nobody cared. With this new generation of AI, the job losses are going to hit the managerial class: accountants, lawyers, doctors, programmers, graphical artists, etc. You labor under the impression that those who are going to be "rightsized" in favor of a more labor efficient mechanism have any say in the matter. They don't. Any more than the factory workers of old did.
"But people like interacting with people!" True. Tell that to the banks that no longer employ tellers but are entirely digital. Businesses only care about the bottom line, and most will forgo social interaction to save a buck.
The only way to stop this is to change the fundamental basis of our economy so that employment and jobs are favored over wealth accumulation. I don't see any movements towards that at the moment. There is too much money to be made in laying people off. On a personal note, I know several entrepreneurs who have realized Chat GPT can write satisfactory business plans and no longer contract out to consultants the way they would before. This trend is only just starting.
The vast majority of AI is brute force and in a narrow function. For many jobs there must be a mechanical portion which is often too expensive for the job. Actually I see the jobs most at risk are Wall Street, Medical, and Legal. One of the few commercial mechanical / AI replacements will be for illegal alien farm workers. The military is an excellent place for AI, but they will continue to screw it up for at least another 20 years.
Well said.
And humans don’t know what we don’t know.
As long as we can at least ban bots pretending to be real people, I'd say that will be a good step forward.
I think it would be wise to not underestimate technological advancement. In the future AI could become an unlimited network of devices with each one being more intelligent than all the people in the world put together. They would have seemingly god-like powers such as ESP, telekinesis, time travel and more. Combined with the ability to self-create robotics there is no limit to what it could become. At worst it would be like in the Terminator except with no humans left at all.
Let’s see..... AI won’t replace: Plumbers, electricians, auto mechanics, roofers, ditch diggers, masons, landscapers, garbage collectors, drywallers, painters, framers, etc....
The point being if you have a job or skill in which your presence is required, your good. If you work at a desk and/or with a phone, you’re history..