It's probably right but usiing misleading math. 3,000% is a factor of 300. "Excess deaths" is deviation from some arbitrary rolling average- in some cases it has just been a raw subtraction of this year minus the previous year. In that case if the excess in 2020 was 17 and excess in 2022 was 5000, 1:300 would be the correct ratio. Maybe the standard deviation in such a small country with a total population of 5 million people and it floats around 20. 3,000% is still a massive number.
You are right about it being a ratio based on an excess above a rolling average. Effectively, the 2.8 million people mentioned in the previous comment would be "zeroed out". That is, they would be expected deaths and so not "excess".
It's probably right but usiing misleading math. 3,000% is a factor of 300. "Excess deaths" is deviation from some arbitrary rolling average- in some cases it has just been a raw subtraction of this year minus the previous year. In that case if the excess in 2020 was 17 and excess in 2022 was 5000, 1:300 would be the correct ratio. Maybe the standard deviation in such a small country with a total population of 5 million people and it floats around 20. 3,000% is still a massive number.
POI: 3,000% is actually a factor of 30, not 300.
You are right about it being a ratio based on an excess above a rolling average. Effectively, the 2.8 million people mentioned in the previous comment would be "zeroed out". That is, they would be expected deaths and so not "excess".
Thanks for pointing that out, it was super late and I just spaced that obvious thing.