it's long but worth the listen
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My question is, what is the probability of this being legit? Seems kinda Real Raw Newsy........
I've watched this guy before, definitely a likeable fellow. Has a lot of that influencer "intel" that can never really be verified.
Is there any other way to verify what this guy says besides his own words?
There is no "probability" associated with some specific fact being true or not. It is a single event (one or zero). The concept of probability applies only to a population of events. Best to look for certainty and not get lost in a subjective fog of "probability," which would be meaningless.
Yeah, I gotcha. I can't argue with that. But, I think you know what I mean.
Let me re-phrase in "crayon"..........how do we verify influencer-intel when they're supposedly the only ones who have it?
Props for splitting hairs, though 👍 It's what we do.
I've been an engineer for 50 years. Misuse of the term drives me nuts. I always want to ask "What's the number? How do you calculate it?"
But, to your question, I'm afraid the answer is what has always been the motto of this page: Wait and see. No harm in repeating "intel" or rumor---for what it may be worth. I just get my teeth on edge when I see the logical fallacy of "possibly" => "probably" => "certainly" running riot here.