It's more likely that they closed airspace because the Goodyear blimp was doing a flyover advertising Coke and McDonald's... because clown world never ceases to amaze...
You saw how quick the Venezuela take down was… not sure the shutdown would be much of a factor here.
As far as forces, the teams that went into Caracas was very small, and given we have troops in Western Europe, Middle East and those are the ones we know about.
Could happen immediately IMHO, sorry to disappoint.
Flying into Venezuela and nabbing Maduro is a far sight different than flying into Iran and trying to nab the Ayatollah.
First, the Ayatollah has about a dozen imams that would need to be grabbed at the same time, too. These are the clerics responsible with promoting and enforcing the Ayatollahs edicts. His "clerics in waiting," so to speak, that would be ready to fill in if we were to attempt a smash-grab, or capture-kill op. Second, the Iranian Republican Guard is a highly trained, very well funded fanatical and highly brainwashed group of true believers. Ask anyone who went up against true believers in Afghanistan how hard they fight. Most of our casualties in both Iraq and Afghanistan were to true believers, especially in Fallujah, Ramadi, Karkuk, Lashkargah, etc. The IRGC is trained to fight to the death using any and all available means. They helped create and train the true believers in IS. They helped create, organize, fund, and train the true believers in Iraq and Afghanistan, and they almost singlehandedly created Hamas and Hezbollah. I say almost because we know that the [DS] had a hand in it, too, but how much involvement the [DS] had in that is up for debate.
Also, flying into the interior of Iran is trickier because while it is a mountainous country, several of it's larger cities lie in fairly large valleys, so flying there would be hard, as they have a radar system that is set at different altitudes to help defend against an aerial incursion. Where we had the element of surprise coming off the water and the U.S. homeland in Venezuela, an aerial incursion into Iran would be considerably more complicated because they'd see the build up and would know it's coming, so they would have the benefit of time on their side. They also have a vastly more sophisticated radar net than Venezuela, AND they have the support of both Russia and CCP China, moreso than Maduro had.
Lastly, the IRGC will not hesitate to take civilians hostage by the thousands, if need be. Imagine what the Left, Rinos, and Globalists would say and try to do to Trump if he were to just start a bombing offensive, or surgical strikes on IRGC emplacements that are also holding hostages, or attempt a capture-kill on Khameini or his leading goons. The blowback would be so etching I don't think even Trump would want here at home and would definitely lead to a trouncing at the midterm elections. And that, we simply cannot afford at the moment.
Sorry, but the Iranians are gonna have to do this mostly on their own. We can send in some, as in a relative few in number to help coordinate and organize an armed resistance movement, and we can even help fund, arm, supply and maybe help train that movement, but there's way too many in the Iranian National Police and IRGC that are true believers that make it very hard for us to launch any offensives of our own. And I don't know hink there's too many Tier-1 units willing to take that chance right now. Especially to go in and take the time to help train an armed resistance/revolutionary force. It would take months, is financially costly, and dangerous because you have to take into account Irans vast network of citizen spies who wouldnt hesitate to rat out people out just to save their own skins. That's something that would already have to be in place, and there simply aren't any rumors or whispers of that right now, which tells me that's not a thing yet.
What I think is happening is that the Ayatollah and the IRGC has locked down the airpsace to help prevent an aerial incursion from taking place. They've announced that's what this is. So there's no reason to believe otherwise.
Do I think the WH elements of C_A, MI-6, and Mossad are there helping stoke the flames of rebellion in Iran? Yes, I do. But will we, or our allies be sending active duty members of our militaries in to fight? No, I do not. The risks are too great. There's too many rat-fink politicians in our countries to even attempt such a thing at the moment.
My prediction is "breaking news" by tomorrow morning.
And... And...
Somebody is gonna get "Slammed"
There may be "Bombshells" - possibly Carpet Bombshells (slightly used)
It could go from "Breaking News" straight to "Broken News"
Stay frosty... but cozy
u/#pepecozy
It's more likely that they closed airspace because the Goodyear blimp was doing a flyover advertising Coke and McDonald's... because clown world never ceases to amaze...
No strike groups available. Not gonna happen for at least a month. Sorry to disappoint.
Government shutdown about to happen as well. So probably 2 months.
Maybe we can get some action and arrests of the terrorists in the DC swamp tho.
You saw how quick the Venezuela take down was… not sure the shutdown would be much of a factor here.
As far as forces, the teams that went into Caracas was very small, and given we have troops in Western Europe, Middle East and those are the ones we know about.
Could happen immediately IMHO, sorry to disappoint.
Flying into Venezuela and nabbing Maduro is a far sight different than flying into Iran and trying to nab the Ayatollah.
First, the Ayatollah has about a dozen imams that would need to be grabbed at the same time, too. These are the clerics responsible with promoting and enforcing the Ayatollahs edicts. His "clerics in waiting," so to speak, that would be ready to fill in if we were to attempt a smash-grab, or capture-kill op. Second, the Iranian Republican Guard is a highly trained, very well funded fanatical and highly brainwashed group of true believers. Ask anyone who went up against true believers in Afghanistan how hard they fight. Most of our casualties in both Iraq and Afghanistan were to true believers, especially in Fallujah, Ramadi, Karkuk, Lashkargah, etc. The IRGC is trained to fight to the death using any and all available means. They helped create and train the true believers in IS. They helped create, organize, fund, and train the true believers in Iraq and Afghanistan, and they almost singlehandedly created Hamas and Hezbollah. I say almost because we know that the [DS] had a hand in it, too, but how much involvement the [DS] had in that is up for debate.
Also, flying into the interior of Iran is trickier because while it is a mountainous country, several of it's larger cities lie in fairly large valleys, so flying there would be hard, as they have a radar system that is set at different altitudes to help defend against an aerial incursion. Where we had the element of surprise coming off the water and the U.S. homeland in Venezuela, an aerial incursion into Iran would be considerably more complicated because they'd see the build up and would know it's coming, so they would have the benefit of time on their side. They also have a vastly more sophisticated radar net than Venezuela, AND they have the support of both Russia and CCP China, moreso than Maduro had.
Lastly, the IRGC will not hesitate to take civilians hostage by the thousands, if need be. Imagine what the Left, Rinos, and Globalists would say and try to do to Trump if he were to just start a bombing offensive, or surgical strikes on IRGC emplacements that are also holding hostages, or attempt a capture-kill on Khameini or his leading goons. The blowback would be so etching I don't think even Trump would want here at home and would definitely lead to a trouncing at the midterm elections. And that, we simply cannot afford at the moment.
Sorry, but the Iranians are gonna have to do this mostly on their own. We can send in some, as in a relative few in number to help coordinate and organize an armed resistance movement, and we can even help fund, arm, supply and maybe help train that movement, but there's way too many in the Iranian National Police and IRGC that are true believers that make it very hard for us to launch any offensives of our own. And I don't know hink there's too many Tier-1 units willing to take that chance right now. Especially to go in and take the time to help train an armed resistance/revolutionary force. It would take months, is financially costly, and dangerous because you have to take into account Irans vast network of citizen spies who wouldnt hesitate to rat out people out just to save their own skins. That's something that would already have to be in place, and there simply aren't any rumors or whispers of that right now, which tells me that's not a thing yet.
What I think is happening is that the Ayatollah and the IRGC has locked down the airpsace to help prevent an aerial incursion from taking place. They've announced that's what this is. So there's no reason to believe otherwise.
Do I think the WH elements of C_A, MI-6, and Mossad are there helping stoke the flames of rebellion in Iran? Yes, I do. But will we, or our allies be sending active duty members of our militaries in to fight? No, I do not. The risks are too great. There's too many rat-fink politicians in our countries to even attempt such a thing at the moment.
We’ll see won’t we?