Too many of these crashes lately, or so it seems to me. I think at least some of these disasters are not just accidents.
Fighting or no fighting, our planes and helos are in the air all the time (or "often", anyway . . . so I believe. Can anyone with actual knowledge chime in?).
How many crashes per week or month is statistically normal, versus what we've seen in the last year or two?
Brave AI has this to say, which doesn't answer the question but does point to an increase in crashes since 2020:
Statistical data from 2020–2024 indicates that the rate of Class A mishaps (the deadliest and costliest category) rose from 1.3 per 100,000 flight hours in fiscal 2020 to 2.02 per 100,000 flight hours in fiscal 2024, representing a 55% increase over that period. Specific branch rates in 2024 hit four-year highs, with the Marines jumping from 1.33 to 3.91, the Army from 0.76 to 2.02, the Air Force from 1.72 to 1.9, and the Navy from 1.12 to 1.76.
Regarding the specific number of crashes per week or per month in the last six months (December 2025–June 2026), the provided search context does not contain this granular monthly data. The available statistics are aggregated across fiscal years 2020 through 2024, which totaled 4,280 mishaps leading to 90 deaths and $9 billion in damages. Consequently, a precise weekly or monthly crash count for the current six-month period cannot be derived from the current information.
Beware getting into the false idea that "normal" means "possible" and "abnormal" means "impossible." Every statistical distribution has "outliers" or "abnormal" events which are as real as anything. They are like people who are shorter or taller than average. They are not "normal," but they are not impossible.
I understand that; statistics are useful but statistical truth is not the same as individual truth. "Men are taller than women" -- statistically true -- but plenty of women are taller than plenty of men.
The aircraft, tail number 60-0061, was the first and only B-52 ever fitted with the new AN/APQ-188 AESA radar system, a critical component of the Air Force's $48.6 billion B-52J modernization program. Sauce: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_6WcVhuEwU
8 crew members and 8 engines and a disappearing act reminds me of one thing.
"When this BBBY hits 88 mph you're gonna see some serious sh*t."
If you look at BBBY on 6/15 it had twin peaks at 6.38. The 1st was 4:40 am and the 2nd peak was 9:50. (95=5x19) There was also a Russian military plane crash...
One side of my brain is telling me this was an accident. The other side is screaming it was an attack the day of the biggest peace deal this century.
indeed, we are all thinking it. Too much of a coinkidink otherwise. But we will probably have to wait a while to find out.
My prayers for these patriots.
To their families, my sincere condolences.
Godspeed brave souls 🙏🙏🙏
Too many of these crashes lately, or so it seems to me. I think at least some of these disasters are not just accidents.
Fighting or no fighting, our planes and helos are in the air all the time (or "often", anyway . . . so I believe. Can anyone with actual knowledge chime in?).
How many crashes per week or month is statistically normal, versus what we've seen in the last year or two?
Brave AI has this to say, which doesn't answer the question but does point to an increase in crashes since 2020:
Beware getting into the false idea that "normal" means "possible" and "abnormal" means "impossible." Every statistical distribution has "outliers" or "abnormal" events which are as real as anything. They are like people who are shorter or taller than average. They are not "normal," but they are not impossible.
I understand that; statistics are useful but statistical truth is not the same as individual truth. "Men are taller than women" -- statistically true -- but plenty of women are taller than plenty of men.
Just as plenty of men are taller than plenty of men. What is your point? My point was that statistics cannot be used to prove impossibility.
My point was that I agree with you: Statistics are not the same as individual events.
I beg your pardon. Welcome to the same side of the table (but you were there beforehand...).
well said.
To be fair, the Army and Marine Corps do much of their aviating near the ground and the Navy practices carrier aviation.
I wonder if they were out of Barksdale or Minot. Sad to here, those are very reliable airframes.
Gotta say it, "7/10" https://qalerts.app/?q=%23%23525%7C%23%23463%7C%23%23259
The aircraft, tail number 60-0061, was the first and only B-52 ever fitted with the new AN/APQ-188 AESA radar system, a critical component of the Air Force's $48.6 billion B-52J modernization program. Sauce: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_6WcVhuEwU
8 crew members and 8 engines and a disappearing act reminds me of one thing.
"When this BBBY hits 88 mph you're gonna see some serious sh*t."
If you look at BBBY on 6/15 it had twin peaks at 6.38. The 1st was 4:40 am and the 2nd peak was 9:50. (95=5x19) There was also a Russian military plane crash...