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149
Say farewell to the AI bubble, and get ready for the crash (www.latimes.com) 🗣️ DISCUSSION 💬
posted 290 days ago by Dogsoldier2 290 days ago by Dogsoldier2 +149 / -0
Commentary: Say farewell to the AI bubble, and get ready for the crash
The AI frenzy has been fueled by relentless hype, but the dud launched by OpenAI has its former enthusiasts wondering if they've been taken.
www.latimes.com
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▲ 6 ▼
– bubble_bursts 6 points 290 days ago +6 / -0

No scope.

Anything you can reduce to strings of data and patterns can be used to train AI. Its not that it has no scope, but the scope is umlimited.

No clear definition of problem/solution.

Just like the previous point - the beauty of AI is that the number of different problems it can be used to solve is limitless. Anyone trying to come up with a "definiton of problem/solution" is forcing themselves into a box.

Garbage data.

AI is "garbage in, garbage out" technology. What differentiates different AIs is the quality of the training data. This is another beauty of this technology. There will always be better and better, even open source, AI models because anyone can train a model with their own data. Power to the people.

AI will take everyone's job! Yeah! Who will pay for AI?!?!?!

"Robots will take everyone's job"

"Internet will take everyone's job"

Both of these prophecies were partially true, partially false. A lot of jobs will become redundant. Especially the low end coders and you absolutely want these jobs to become redundant. But at the same time, it will expand what we as humans can achieve and create newer, higher level jobs that focus more on human thinking, intelligence, creativity.

AI will take all the power!!!!!!

Perfect forcing factor to unveil real energy solutions - be it safe nuclear or the so called Tesla energy.

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▲ 9 ▼
– HenryTheRed 9 points 290 days ago +9 / -0

It feels like you have never worked with software. The first step in creating a project that fails is to not clearly define the scope of work and to not limit requirements coming in.

We could give AI good clean data... where does that exist?

People need work and income. That is how our economy currently works. If AI can do everything why have any humans? Humans also need starter jobs to learn to work.

Power you are assuming the best case scenario. That the government will release the new (old researched in government lab) tech for this problem. I have a bridge to sell you... The bridge was in London at one point in time...

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▲ 5 ▼
– bubble_bursts 5 points 290 days ago +5 / -0

It feels like you have never worked with software. The first step in creating a project that fails is to not clearly define the scope of work and to not limit requirements coming in.

I think your perspective is coming from being a software contractor who takes requirements from a client and delivers working software.

Eventually you will get to see bigger picture of how not just a small piece of software is developed, but technology is created. Every single company that I worked in started off with a clearly defined problem, but somewhere along the way realised that their focus should be elsewhere and they pivoted. This is a standard lifecycle of not just startups but technology itself.

AI didn't pop out of nowhere. Precursor to AI was the field of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), that started as early as 1950s. They had a clearly defined goal - to mimic the way neurons work in the brain and they had a well defined problem: Pattern recognition and classification.

When ANNs hit into the limitations of computational power, it was largely forgotten as a field and people moved on to more exciting areas. Deep learning algorithms - foundation of today's AI models - were just extremely complex versions of ANNs with much more optimized algorithms and the problem definition that can be solved by AI pivoted from pattern recognition to pattern generation.

All of today's AI models are nothing but pattern generators. You feed them billions of data patterns, and then you feed it a new pattern and it will extend it by generating the continuation of that pattern.

When you ask a question to Grok, all grok is doing is taking that string you typed and running it through its internal network and extending that string into something that, as a human, you perceive it to be an "answer" - but its just a string of letters.

So yeah, AI has a clearly defined function - pattern generation and extension - but what problems you can solve with this is unlimited.

To understand this concept that applies to all new technology, you can compare it with crypto space. When blockchains were originally created it was solving a well defined problem of decentralized consensus of financial transactions with no double-spending. Thats exactly what Bitcoin protocol implemented.

However, the problems you can solve with this is unlimited. Started off with currency, extended into programmable contracts, NFTs, and pretty much anything you could imagine - now reaching the problem of making liquidity available to people without banks as middlemen.

When we compared where we are now with where it started from, you cannot help but be amazed. And its the same with AI.

People need work and income

I guess you missed the point I was making, explaining how - just like with Robotics and Internet - while some jobs were lost, a lot more were made, and in the end we still have jobs for everyone - from newbies to veterans. However the jobs that newbies today do are different from the newbies did 50 years ago. And it will be the same with AI - because, and its important to keep in mind, AI is not a thinking entity. Its simply a pattern generator. We humans are the thinkers and we will always be that.

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▲ 1 ▼
– ModernMan1 1 point 290 days ago +1 / -0

AI is not a thinking entity. Its simply a pattern generator. We humans are the thinkers and we will always be that.

One thing I’ve learned from you guys is to never think in absolutes. That’s not to say there’s not absolutes that exist, but from my experience the moment I think something is set in stone is the moment it begins to change🤷‍♂️

*Do you believe the human mind creates reality? Literally,,, creates reality?? Are we only limited by our understandings??? If you believe that and accept it as truth then is it really that crazy to “”think”” that Ai will develop a level of creativity that matches/surpasses human ability?

*”If” our brains have the ability to receive/tap into the universal consciousness for answers/creativity (thinking in terms of frequency/radio waves) than maybe we can create something capable of this too!

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▲ 1 ▼
– bubble_bursts 1 point 289 days ago +1 / -0

I believe humans have a soul which connects if to the Universe or God. This is what differentiate is from even the most powerful AI. They can be smarter than is in many areas, sure but we'll never possess our instincts, insights, and spirituality that has guided us as humanity even through all the deception of Satan.

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... continue reading thread?
▲ 3 ▼
– MAG768720 3 points 290 days ago +3 / -0

Its not that it has no scope, but the scope is umlimited.

False.

While in THEORY the scope might seem limitless, it will in reality ALWAYS have limits.

Did we go to the Moon?

How would an AI computer answer this historical question?

Would it draw from an "approved database" of information?

Would it accept data from multiple databases that conflict with each other? How would it resolve the conflict? WOULD it resolve the conflict?

Humans cannot agree on how to resolve this and similar conflicts, so how would a computer that processes 1's and 0's do it?

If by "AI" we are ONLY talking about computers that can process data faster or more efficiently, then sure, it has its use. A computer programmer can write code much faster with AI -- and some companies are firing coders because they don't need them to do as much as before.

There will be some uses, for sure.

BUT ... human intelligence is all about (a) taking concrete ideas, then (b) imagining some abstract concept that can utilize those concrete ideas, then (c) applying that abstract concept back to existing and/or new concrete ideas.

This is what IQ tests measure: the ability to apply abstract concepts to concrete data.

Computers can ONLY process concrete data. They can also do it much faster and more efficiently than humans. BUT they CANNOT come up with NEW abstract ideas on their own. THAT requires human input.

Thus, they are not "intelligent," in a human sense; therefore, the term "artificial intelligence" is a LIE.

This is the crux of the problem, because the tyrannical mind wants to push this false narrative that the computer is actually intelligent, when it is not.

And this is the danger -- a danger that Sam Altman (according to Elon Musk) does not care about whatsoever, which means he and others like him will continue to push for tyrannical control, using AI as the false tool to push a harmful agenda.

Faster and more efficient to process data? Sure.

But that IS its limit.

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▲ 1 ▼
– bubble_bursts 1 point 289 days ago +1 / -0
> Did we go to the Moon?

How would an AI computer answer this historical question?

We should never use AI to draw conclusions for us. It should not be used to make judgements nor to provide opinions.

AI should be used as a tool to gather as much data as it can provide but we need to trust our own human instincts and our own judgement. That is purely human domain.

If you want to know whether we went to the Moon or not you would ask the AI to provide evidence for both arguments and you can further drill into each of these evidences, until you have a good idea to be able to make that judgement yourself.

If you really want to answer this question, i would say that it would take anywhere from a week to a few weeks to do a thorough investigation using Grok.

Here is a good starting point. As you can see there are strong evidence for both sides of the argument, which means you have a lot of work cut out to come to the conclusion of either one or another. You will have to spend days drilling into each of these evidences and further figuring out what it takes to refute each of them on both sides and see what stands for sure.

Once you have eliminated all the impossibilities, whatever option remains, no matter how improbably, is the truth. And AI will definitely help you do that as long as you have the time, energy and patience for this.

What are some of the strongest evidence that points to the fact that the Apollo indeed land on moon?

Thought for 39s

1. Lunar Retroreflectors   Apollo astronauts from missions 11, 14, and 15 placed laser ranging retroreflector arrays (LRRRs) on the Moon's surface. These devices reflect laser beams fired from Earth back to their origin, allowing precise measurements of the Earth-Moon distance. Independent observatories worldwide, such as the Observatoire de la Côte d'Azur in France, McDonald Observatory in Texas, Apache Point Observatory in New Mexico, and Haleakalā Observatory in Hawaii, have successfully detected and used these reflectors since their deployment—including detections made shortly after the missions (e.g., Apollo 11's reflector was detected by Lick Observatory on August 1, 1969, while the crew was still returning). The reflectors continue to function today, providing ongoing data for scientific research. This evidence is irrefutable because it requires physical hardware on the Moon, and the precise photon return patterns match small, man-made objects rather than natural lunar surface reflections. 

2. Moon Rock Samples   The Apollo missions returned approximately 382 kilograms (842 pounds) of lunar rocks and soil, which have been analyzed by hundreds of independent scientists and laboratories around the world (unaffiliated with NASA). These samples exhibit unique characteristics impossible to replicate on Earth or fake, such as an age of up to 4.5 billion years (older than any Earth rocks by about 200 million years), a composition lacking water or atmospheric exposure, and isotopic ratios matching the Moon's origin from solar system materials. For instance, a rock from Apollo 17 was dated to 4.417 billion years old by researchers at Curtin University in Australia. The samples also closely match those collected by the Soviet Union's unmanned Luna probes, providing cross-verification from a rival space program during the Cold War. 

3. Images from Independent Lunar Probes   Non-U.S. spacecraft have photographed the Apollo landing sites, showing clear evidence of human activity such as disturbed soil, descent stages, rovers, and astronaut footprints. Examples include:Japan's SELENE (Kaguya) probe in 2008, which captured images of lighter, disturbed dust at the Apollo 15 site, matching Apollo-era photos.
India's Chandrayaan-1 (2008) and Chandrayaan-2 (2019) orbiters, with the latter releasing a high-resolution image of the Apollo 11 Lunar Module descent stage at Tranquility Base in 2021.
China's Chang'e 2 probe (2010), which identified traces of Apollo hardware and rover tracks.
South Korea's Danuri orbiter (launched 2022), which has imaged Apollo sites.
   These international missions, conducted by countries with no incentive to perpetuate a U.S. "hoax," provide visual confirmation independent of NASA. 


4. Independent Tracking and Monitoring During Missions   The Soviet Union, a geopolitical rival, closely tracked all Apollo missions using radar and intelligence equipment from their Space Transmissions Corps, confirming NASA's reports without dispute—if faked, they would have exposed it for propaganda value. Amateur radio operators and observatories worldwide also independently detected transmissions and calculated orbits. For example:Bochum Observatory in Germany recorded Apollo 11 signals without the typical NASA communication artifacts.
Jodrell Bank Observatory in the UK tracked Apollo 11 alongside the Soviet Luna 15 probe.
Radio amateurs like Larry Baysinger in the U.S. and others in Europe captured live astronaut transmissions using home-built equipment.
   Additionally, the Soviet RATAN-600 radio telescope detected signals from Apollo Lunar Surface Experiments Packages (ALSEPs) in 1977, matching NASA's reported coordinates and power outputs. 

5. Photographs from NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO)   While NASA-operated, the LRO (launched in 2009) has provided ultra-high-resolution images of all Apollo landing sites, visible to the public and verifiable by experts. These show descent modules, scientific instruments, rover tracks, and footprints persisting in the airless lunar environment. Combined with the international probe images above, this forms a comprehensive visual record that debunks claims of staging, as the sites match historical Apollo data exactly. 

What are some of the reasonable doubts to consider that there may have been attempt to fake the moon landings?

Thought for 33s

1. The American Flag Appears to "Wave" in a Vacuum   Skeptics point to video footage where the flag planted on the Moon seems to flutter or move as if in a breeze, which they argue is impossible in the Moon's airless environment. This suggests the scene was filmed on Earth in a studio with wind or fans. The doubt arises from the intuitive expectation that fabric should hang limp without air, leading some to question if the entire extravehicular activity (EVA) was staged. 

2. No Stars Visible in Photographs   Apollo photos show a black sky with no stars, despite the Moon lacking an atmosphere that scatters light. Theorists claim this is evidence of a hoax, as stars should be brightly visible, and their absence might indicate NASA forgot to add them to a faked backdrop or that the images were taken under studio lights on Earth. This doubt seems reasonable to some because everyday experience on Earth (e.g., stargazing) contrasts with the photos. 


3. Inconsistent Shadows and Lighting   Shadows in Moon photos often appear at varying angles or lengths, which skeptics interpret as signs of multiple artificial light sources (like spotlights in a film set) rather than a single source (the Sun). Some also note "hot spots" or uneven illumination, suggesting close-range lighting rather than distant sunlight. This raises doubts about the authenticity of the lunar environment, as it mimics common movie production errors. 

4. Survival Through the Van Allen Radiation Belts   The Van Allen belts are regions of intense radiation around Earth, and theorists argue that 1960s spacecraft lacked sufficient shielding to protect astronauts, implying the missions were faked to avoid lethal exposure. This doubt is bolstered by claims that film cameras would have been fogged by radiation, ruining photos. It seems plausible given Cold War-era nuclear tests (like Starfish Prime in 1962) that intensified the belts, raising questions about NASA's risk assessments. 

5. No Blast Crater Under the Lunar Module   The Lunar Module's descent engine should have created a visible crater or scattered dust from the rocket thrust, but photos show the surface largely undisturbed beneath it. Skeptics see this as evidence of a prop lowered by wires in a studio, not a real powered landing. This doubt persists because it aligns with expectations from Earth-based rocket tests, where exhaust often leaves marks. 

6. Crosshair Anomalies in Photos   Cameras used reticles (crosshairs) etched on glass for scale, but in some images, these appear behind objects (e.g., rocks or astronauts), suggesting the photos were composited or altered. Theorists argue this indicates "pasting" elements onto backgrounds. It raises reasonable suspicion for those unfamiliar with photographic artifacts, as it implies post-production tampering. 

7. Identical Backgrounds in Separate Photos   Photos purportedly taken miles apart show nearly identical mountain backdrops, leading skeptics to claim a limited painted set or backdrop was reused. This doubt questions the scale and authenticity of the lunar landscape, as distant features should vary more noticeably. 
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▲ 1 ▼
– ModernMan1 1 point 290 days ago +1 / -0

Both of these prophecies were partially true, partially false. A lot of jobs will become redundant. Especially the low end coders and you absolutely want these jobs to become redundant. But at the same time, it will expand what we as humans can achieve and create newer, higher level jobs that focus more on human thinking, intelligence, creativity.

That’s a little misleading, don’t you think?

Yeah, it’s true new jobs will be created as others are lost, but on the Ai timeline, “at some point”, most go away.

create newer, higher level jobs that focus more on human thinking, intelligence, creativity.

How are you defining jobs in this statement? Will they exist within the traditional framework of what we currently see understand a job to be?

*a paid position of regular employment.

*a task or piece of work, especially one that is paid.

????

Personally, I don’t see 95-99% of humans collecting a check “from an employer” 20 yrs from now. When we take what you said to its logical conclusion

“the beauty of AI is that the number of different problems it can be used to solve is limitless.”

“There will always be better and better, even open source”

We end up with Ai doing just about everything and what it doesn’t do/do better will probably be that way just bc we decided it should be that way and not because it can’t do it better🤷‍♂️

All said,,,,, humans will work in the future, but it will be work based on the raising of the world’s consciousness. Not sure yet what that entails, but my gut is telling me it’s so..

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▲ 1 ▼
– bubble_bursts 1 point 289 days ago +1 / -0

That’s a little misleading, don’t you think?

I specifically gave you two similar examples - robotics and Internet and drew my observations from what we have actually seen. So no, not misleading because its supported by human experience.

but on the Ai timeline, “at some point”, most go away.

I have no idea what this means.

How are you defining jobs in this statement?

In 80s and 90s I would have had a hard time defining what new jobs would be created while the Internet took away tons of jobs. Because these jobs did not exist yet. Many concepts and many technologies hadnt even developed yet, even though they would develop as Internet became prevalent.

Same is true with AI. We cannot even imagine the kind of jobs that would exist in 20-30 years let alone 50-100 years.

Will they exist within the traditional framework of what we currently see understand a job to be?

I can only hazard a guess, based on history again that the kind of jobs would transcend whatever frameworks we have right now. Whatever the new jobs would be, it would allow humans to live a purposeful and independant life - whether they earn money from an employer, whether they earn money for their own ventures or whether they do something entirely different we cannot imagine right now.

Personally, I don’t see 95-99% of humans collecting a check “from an employer” 20 yrs from now.

I agree. And this is a good thing and part of human liberation. We went from 80% Americans self employed in 1800s to "working for wages" as the most common means of earning income in 1900s. The tide is going to turn back and we will all be liberated from wage slavery.

We end up with Ai doing just about everything and what it doesn’t do/do better will probably be that way just bc we decided it should be that way and not because it can’t do it better

Very valid concern. This is why I keep harping that "regulation of AI" should not put AI under monopoly of elites. It has to be accessible to everyone for ever. Even if not perfectly, atleast like what happened with Internet.

Even with all the censorship on facebook, twitter, reddit etc, we still had sites like GAW that helped us circumvent these censorship because of Internet.

Similarly, as long as everyone is able to wield the power of AI and train their own models, no one can monopolize what problems can and cannot be solved. Each is limited only by their own imagination.

All said,,,,, humans will work in the future, but it will be work based on the raising of the world’s consciousness. Not sure yet what that entails, but my gut is telling me it’s so..

In this we both agree completely.

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▲ 1 ▼
– ModernMan1 1 point 289 days ago +1 / -0

In this we both agree completely.

Mind Blown.

I was for sure that last one would be the moment this place went on the attack bc that was a pretty woowoo statement 😁

*Seems to me in the end it will have all been about raising consciousness

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▲ 1 ▼
– ModernMan1 1 point 289 days ago +1 / -0

but on the Ai timeline, “at some point”, most go away.

Meaning,, looking down down on a 20-50 year timeline starting from when ChatGPT was first introduced to the public you would see when humans were almost completely removed from the workforce.

It possibly could happen sooner but the amount of time needed to manufacture enough humanoids to cover those jobs and then integrate them seems like a two decade project🤷‍♂️. Even if it could be done I don’t think it would be a healthy scenario for humanity.

But,,,, all bets off if we’re told of an in coming cataclysmic event!

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