We know Trump has a plan for dealing with this problem . . . I'd say it'll be fun to see exactly how this plays out (it usually is, partly because Trump's plans often turn out to be different from what everyone expects) but in this case I don't see much "fun" being likely until the plan is finished and America is back on track.
Hope I'm wrong.
The column includes plenty of charts, which I can't reproduce here.
https://quoththeraven.substack.com/p/absolute-train-wreck-us-adds-481
Current Trends
The government hit the debt ceiling back in January which blocked any net new debt from being created from January to June. Once the debt ceiling was lifted, the government wasted no time in catching up for all the months where borrowing was frozen. Over the last 7 months, the government borrowed an incredible $2.28T!
Note: Non-Marketable consists almost entirely of debt the government owes to itself (e.g., debt owed to Social Security or public retirement)
January was a very small month, but the chart below shows that $2.3T was borrowed for all of 2025. This follows $2.6T and $2.2T in 2023 and 2024. Needless to say, there seems to be a new standard of $2T+ annual borrowing. This will likely mean adding $10T every 4 years at current rates. More than likely that is going to accelerate going forward.
The Treasury has strengthened their cash position to $1T.
The chart below shows both the maturity of the debt and average interest rate. The blended interest rate has stabilized around 3.1%. More concerning is the average maturity of the debt has dropped to 5.8 years. This is the lowest average rate since 2021. Lower average maturity means the government will have to roll over more debt each year. It increases the risk if the appetite for US debt starts to slow.
The true danger facing the government is still in the massive interest currently being paid on the debt. It has finally crossed over $1T per year! As shown in the chart, about half of this is concentrated in Notes, which is debt maturing between 2 and 10 years.
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The Economy is fake. The Money is fake. And the numbers on the charts don’t mean much of anything. If they did we should have collapsed a dozen times over by now.
Pretty good point, actually.
END THE FED.
He’s creating the problem to solve the bigger problem. Enjoy the show.
On life support. Convert your cash. I think its being suppressed to our benefit now.
The Trump Team is working from every angle all at once. The deficit will be coming down, interest rates on the debt will be coming down (with some manipulation early on), tariff revenue will be going up, GDP growth will be way up (tax revenue is about one third of the GDP growth), the reduction of money for nothing (including fraud) will go significantly down and thus keep inflation low.
Yes, but I'll be surprised if there aren't . . . surprises.
So... I'm assuming this is what my libtard friends will be tossing at me tomorrow. Thanks for the heads up!