The most noteworthy thing about Roubini’s opinion on the cyberwar that could be waiting in the future is that it would be considered a White Swan type event, rather than a Black Swan. The difference between each of the “Swan events” is highly relevant because of their characteristics and the implications they could have for organizations.
Following this premise, Taleb developed his theory using it as a metaphor for the fragility of our system of thought when we encounter a major unknown. In this way, he classifies the Swans as follows:
Black Swan: a highly improbable event that is unpredictable, has a massive impact, and after it is first seen, is rationalized with hindsight. Because of this, it tends to create the mistaken belief that it was actually expected.
Grey Swan: A highly probable event that is predictable, has an impact that has a series of knock-on effects, and after it happens, the focus is on human errors in valuation or on their incompetence.
White Swan: A event that will most likely happen and whose impact can easily be estimated.
Is he saying we avoided an event, or there’s a possible incoming event to detract from Durham? My bet is the second option. Or is it just a nice nature video?
He never gives us just a nice nature video 😂 I saw it yesterday and forgot about it after watching it 3 times, trying to puzzle it through. Thanks for the white swan description. I thought that the landing was important.
Look at President Xi and his comments about black swan event next year.
I think the meaning is the black swan event won’t be as bad and it’ll lead to a smooth landing. The black swan is smaller. I think the black swan is the stock market and hyper inflation.
Also Michael Burry who called the last bubble and crash tweeted last night that “at least I tried”.
He’s been trying to say the market is over leveraged again even worse than 2008.
Commies love poisoning the population medically and weakening the body politic before they crash the economy and come in for the kill. We may have a heads up this time.
Scavino’s short, cryptic video shows a white swan starting to fly then lands back in water.
https://www.cytomic.ai/trends/white-swan-cyberwar/
The most noteworthy thing about Roubini’s opinion on the cyberwar that could be waiting in the future is that it would be considered a White Swan type event, rather than a Black Swan. The difference between each of the “Swan events” is highly relevant because of their characteristics and the implications they could have for organizations.
Is he saying we avoided an event, or there’s a possible incoming event to detract from Durham? My bet is the second option. Or is it just a nice nature video?
He never gives us just a nice nature video 😂 I saw it yesterday and forgot about it after watching it 3 times, trying to puzzle it through. Thanks for the white swan description. I thought that the landing was important.
Maybe status we're coming in for a smooth landing? Q-Post #4322:
https://qalerts.app/?q=Glide
What does the "ILS" stand for?
Instrument Landing System
.
Edit: Used, for example, when trying to make a safe landing during a storm.
That was my first thought, before reading this decode. Coming in for a smooth landing all looking good.
The swan takes off and lands again. It had a false start, but has tested its capaility. It also means it will take off later.
No his Posts always have meaning
Sounds like NCSWIC.
Look at President Xi and his comments about black swan event next year.
I think the meaning is the black swan event won’t be as bad and it’ll lead to a smooth landing. The black swan is smaller. I think the black swan is the stock market and hyper inflation.
Hhmmm…good points?! Interdasting indeed.
Also Michael Burry who called the last bubble and crash tweeted last night that “at least I tried”.
He’s been trying to say the market is over leveraged again even worse than 2008. Commies love poisoning the population medically and weakening the body politic before they crash the economy and come in for the kill. We may have a heads up this time.
People have been warned for a while, sadly they often don’t listen.
Maybe the White Swan event is the NCSWIC event...