Scavino’s short, cryptic video shows a white swan starting to fly then lands back in water.

https://www.cytomic.ai/trends/white-swan-cyberwar/

The most noteworthy thing about Roubini’s opinion on the cyberwar that could be waiting in the future is that it would be considered a White Swan type event, rather than a Black Swan. The difference between each of the “Swan events” is highly relevant because of their characteristics and the implications they could have for organizations.

Following this premise, Taleb developed his theory using it as a metaphor for the fragility of our system of thought when we encounter a major unknown. In this way, he classifies the Swans as follows: Black Swan: a highly improbable event that is unpredictable, has a massive impact, and after it is first seen, is rationalized with hindsight. Because of this, it tends to create the mistaken belief that it was actually expected. Grey Swan: A highly probable event that is predictable, has an impact that has a series of knock-on effects, and after it happens, the focus is on human errors in valuation or on their incompetence. White Swan: A event that will most likely happen and whose impact can easily be estimated.

Is he saying we avoided an event, or there’s a possible incoming event to detract from Durham? My bet is the second option. Or is it just a nice nature video?