Seems doubtful. Russia has either lost, or strategically abandoned nearly half the territory that initially took. Unless something changes, Ukraine seems to be happy to keep things chugging along and staying propped up with aid.
You think so? If Russia was on the run then why the sudden need for immediate military aid? The Fake News can't have it both ways. They can't say Russia is losing while at the same time saying Ukraine is in desperate need for aid. They need to pick a narrative.
Ukraine has a GDP that is 9 times smaller than Russia. They had less than 1/10th the military spending that Russia had in 2021. Russia has over 3 times the population as well.
By all accounts and estimations (including those in the west), Russia should have decisively won in the first few weeks. Russia is massively under performing. They haven't been able to even hold their initial gains they made early in the war. Still, Russia is a heavy hitter. If all aid was cutoff today, Ukraine could probably still hold out for months, maybe even years. Their victories and progress so far has solidified their resolve and there does not seem to be an danger of a political coup. They might be able to reach some kind of a stalemate and negotiate a ceasefire. But that isn't winning.
For Ukraine to realistically go on an offensive they would need heavy weapons and aid to keep their economy afloat.
Also, in the long term, even if Russia was able to overrun and occupy Ukraine, the war has been extremely costly for them. At best, it would be a Pyrrhic victory.
The US civil war was supposed to be over in one battle, when the Union army marched out to Manassas ( ha, I said “man asses”🤪) and trounce the Rebs. Folks showed up with picnic baskets to watch. Union army ran back to DC and it turned out to be a long protracted war. Morale of the story- Union still won (which is unfortunate in retrospect). It had money, numbers, industry, and transportation. Russia is the Union. Ukraine will fall
No other countries joined the Confederacy. The UK almost did, but they ended up sitting on the sidelines. The west is supplying Ukraine with a lot of equipment and weapons. On it's own, Ukraine could not hold out. But I think the West is happy to continue to bleed Russia out.
And the sanctions on Russia are crippling. I've seen people around here trying to down play it, but they're cutting off Russia from the global market. Long term, they might be able to be more self sufficient, but in the medium term, they're going to have major problems.
I dont believe Russia is under performing at all,.Putin called this a Special Operation,. to protect the people of the Donbass,.,and to Guarantee Russias Security,at this point and time Russia is said to be using only about 30% of their Millitary Force,
.As per Global Firepower, Russia has around 12,500 in tanks in 2022.
On top of this, the country has 30,000 other armoured vehicles, 6,500 self propelled artillery, 7,500 towed artillery and 3,300 rocket projectors.
This means that Russia’s land forces total at around 60,000 military vehicles.
The country also has just over 4,000 aircraft and 600 naval vessels.
Not to mention one of the most Powerful Nuclear Arsenals in the World,.
They still have a sizable Force in Syria,..
The reason Putin called this a Special Operation and not a "WAR " is because they are trying to accomplish it,without undue harm to the civillian population and try and avoid unecessary Infrastructure Damage
Putin knew that If Russia went in there like Shock and Awe and started Bombing Critical Infrastructure, homes and killing civilians in large numbers it would have turned the Civillian population against them,.as what happened in Iraq, The US belieeved that the Iraqis ,would welcome them with open arms in fact it was just the opposite,.,.Remember this is not Russias war as the Media keeps telling everyone who still listens to them, but it is an ongoing war since the US initated (sponsored ) Maidan Coup in 2014 against a Duly Elected President,." boy they like their Coups" ,,huh.
I just don't buy it. If Russia could win the war sooner, they would have already. If they could have taken Kiev in the early days of the war, they would have. That would have wrapped everything up in just a few weeks. I've seen some around here try to justify it by saying that never wanted to take Kiev, but accomplished some minor goal and then pulled out, but it seems like just an excuse.
Don't get me wrong, Russia is still a major powerhouse. They do have a lot of equipment and weapons, but much of it is from the Soviet era. Russia has some advanced weapons like the T-14 Armata Tank and SU-57 Fighter Jet, but we're not seeing them being used. Maybe they're waiting to pull them out, but the longer this fight goes on, the less it favors Russia.
I'm not dooming here, just trying to be a realist.
Re SROs: It appears that in the founding papers of the United Nations, Russia was granted the right to execute "Special Military Operations" for the purpose of expelling Nazism if it re-emerged in the former World War II combatant territories.
The Russians are sticklers for legal observance (when the law is on their side).
You gotta update your picture of this conflict. Go listen to some talks by Colonel Douglas MacGregor for some proper analysis. Plenty on YT that covers this topic in depth.
Losses are at least 8:1 in favor of RU, their initial goals were stated to limit as much damage as possible and try to force a relatively peaceful resolution. This obviously didn't pan out as they underestimated just how keen for open war the west was, so they fell back and initiated the grinder, almost now achieving their second goal of demilitarizing UA.
The media, and your own, conditions for 'winning' aren't lined up with what they're actually trying to do. At no point have they ever indicated they want to take and hold all of UA, and RussiaManBad has stated multiple times that he believes western UA would prefer to be under Polish rule anyway.
The Duran and The New Atlas also have great objective coverage on this topic.
So what are the estimated losses for Ukraine and Russia?
It's hard to say UA is demilitarized, when weapons are pouring in. I've read people saying that NATO is running out of weapons, but can you honestly say that the UA has less capabilities now than they did when the war started.
Yeah, this one is not very popular. Even listening to what Russia is saying, it seems there is a lot of infighting and blaming for Russia's current performance in the war.
Seems doubtful. Russia has either lost, or strategically abandoned nearly half the territory that initially took. Unless something changes, Ukraine seems to be happy to keep things chugging along and staying propped up with aid.
You think so? If Russia was on the run then why the sudden need for immediate military aid? The Fake News can't have it both ways. They can't say Russia is losing while at the same time saying Ukraine is in desperate need for aid. They need to pick a narrative.
Ukraine has a GDP that is 9 times smaller than Russia. They had less than 1/10th the military spending that Russia had in 2021. Russia has over 3 times the population as well.
By all accounts and estimations (including those in the west), Russia should have decisively won in the first few weeks. Russia is massively under performing. They haven't been able to even hold their initial gains they made early in the war. Still, Russia is a heavy hitter. If all aid was cutoff today, Ukraine could probably still hold out for months, maybe even years. Their victories and progress so far has solidified their resolve and there does not seem to be an danger of a political coup. They might be able to reach some kind of a stalemate and negotiate a ceasefire. But that isn't winning.
For Ukraine to realistically go on an offensive they would need heavy weapons and aid to keep their economy afloat.
Also, in the long term, even if Russia was able to overrun and occupy Ukraine, the war has been extremely costly for them. At best, it would be a Pyrrhic victory.
The US civil war was supposed to be over in one battle, when the Union army marched out to Manassas ( ha, I said “man asses”🤪) and trounce the Rebs. Folks showed up with picnic baskets to watch. Union army ran back to DC and it turned out to be a long protracted war. Morale of the story- Union still won (which is unfortunate in retrospect). It had money, numbers, industry, and transportation. Russia is the Union. Ukraine will fall
No other countries joined the Confederacy. The UK almost did, but they ended up sitting on the sidelines. The west is supplying Ukraine with a lot of equipment and weapons. On it's own, Ukraine could not hold out. But I think the West is happy to continue to bleed Russia out.
And the sanctions on Russia are crippling. I've seen people around here trying to down play it, but they're cutting off Russia from the global market. Long term, they might be able to be more self sufficient, but in the medium term, they're going to have major problems.
I dont believe Russia is under performing at all,.Putin called this a Special Operation,. to protect the people of the Donbass,.,and to Guarantee Russias Security,at this point and time Russia is said to be using only about 30% of their Millitary Force,
.As per Global Firepower, Russia has around 12,500 in tanks in 2022.
On top of this, the country has 30,000 other armoured vehicles, 6,500 self propelled artillery, 7,500 towed artillery and 3,300 rocket projectors.
This means that Russia’s land forces total at around 60,000 military vehicles.
The country also has just over 4,000 aircraft and 600 naval vessels.
Not to mention one of the most Powerful Nuclear Arsenals in the World,. They still have a sizable Force in Syria,..
The reason Putin called this a Special Operation and not a "WAR " is because they are trying to accomplish it,without undue harm to the civillian population and try and avoid unecessary Infrastructure Damage
Putin knew that If Russia went in there like Shock and Awe and started Bombing Critical Infrastructure, homes and killing civilians in large numbers it would have turned the Civillian population against them,.as what happened in Iraq, The US belieeved that the Iraqis ,would welcome them with open arms in fact it was just the opposite,.,.Remember this is not Russias war as the Media keeps telling everyone who still listens to them, but it is an ongoing war since the US initated (sponsored ) Maidan Coup in 2014 against a Duly Elected President,." boy they like their Coups" ,,huh.
I just don't buy it. If Russia could win the war sooner, they would have already. If they could have taken Kiev in the early days of the war, they would have. That would have wrapped everything up in just a few weeks. I've seen some around here try to justify it by saying that never wanted to take Kiev, but accomplished some minor goal and then pulled out, but it seems like just an excuse.
Don't get me wrong, Russia is still a major powerhouse. They do have a lot of equipment and weapons, but much of it is from the Soviet era. Russia has some advanced weapons like the T-14 Armata Tank and SU-57 Fighter Jet, but we're not seeing them being used. Maybe they're waiting to pull them out, but the longer this fight goes on, the less it favors Russia.
I'm not dooming here, just trying to be a realist.
Re SROs: It appears that in the founding papers of the United Nations, Russia was granted the right to execute "Special Military Operations" for the purpose of expelling Nazism if it re-emerged in the former World War II combatant territories.
The Russians are sticklers for legal observance (when the law is on their side).
You gotta update your picture of this conflict. Go listen to some talks by Colonel Douglas MacGregor for some proper analysis. Plenty on YT that covers this topic in depth.
Losses are at least 8:1 in favor of RU, their initial goals were stated to limit as much damage as possible and try to force a relatively peaceful resolution. This obviously didn't pan out as they underestimated just how keen for open war the west was, so they fell back and initiated the grinder, almost now achieving their second goal of demilitarizing UA.
The media, and your own, conditions for 'winning' aren't lined up with what they're actually trying to do. At no point have they ever indicated they want to take and hold all of UA, and RussiaManBad has stated multiple times that he believes western UA would prefer to be under Polish rule anyway.
The Duran and The New Atlas also have great objective coverage on this topic.
So what are the estimated losses for Ukraine and Russia?
It's hard to say UA is demilitarized, when weapons are pouring in. I've read people saying that NATO is running out of weapons, but can you honestly say that the UA has less capabilities now than they did when the war started.
Either this is stinky bait, or someone is listening to Ukie propaganda.
Just let his number of downvotes be the judge.
Yeah, this one is not very popular. Even listening to what Russia is saying, it seems there is a lot of infighting and blaming for Russia's current performance in the war.