The UK does not have very many usable tanks, 3 soldiers leave to one civilian joining up, and the Royal Navy is in the same state. As for the RAF, there aren't any 5 star hotels in Ukraine so they are not interested.
Combined NATO forces will have trouble with an armed Iran, China and Russia. They'll even have North Korean fodder.
We also have actual allies in direct vicinity, including South Korea and Japan.
Bonus points in their favor, China would likely bring Russia in on taking Taiwan, because it is strategically very important and would drastically weaken our long term capabilities.
This government has pushed itself into a corner, and the only fixes will take time and need to be spearheaded by someone who actually loves this country (Trump).
Well, since we end up making up the bulk of force projection across the planet even within NATO, I would be referring to the United States and by extension NATO.
With limited fabs outside of Taiwan (a grave strategic "error" [read: Intentional act]) everyone and basically every industry would start to feel the constriction, and during wartime that would prevent the military from getting needed supplies for building replacement systems in the long term.
Everyone seriously underestimates the value of Taiwan, trying to jump to it being corrupt, not mattering, etc. but there simply are not enough fabs nor workers skilled in those fabs within U.S. reach and in an extended war with countries who have the resources, the fabs and the workers who are already skilled in working them, we would be disadvantaged.
According to Intel, it takes $10 billion dollars (likely more, and likely even higher than that in a wartime environment without access to replacement parts in the first place), three years (barring supply chain issues) and and more than 6000 construction workers to build and furnish a fab, and then there are multiple levels of training from there.
Some estimations even put it at five years to build.
These tiny chips with millions, billions, tens of billions of transistors in them can't just be created in a factory that's retooled for this purpose.
--
Apologies if this went too in-depth, I just wanted to elaborate on why Taiwan is critical right now. That's ignoring how something not too far from 100% of medication is made in China, which would be another huge advantage that they have.
I am very critical about the U.S. sending actually critical infrastructure overseas instead of ensuring that we are self sufficient in every critical industry. Not even least of all the fact that IP theft has put China on a map where they should never have been without being jumped forward a century.
They didn't even have a very large naval force in WW2.
You really on this site and don’t know why I’m asking you who the we in “our” is when referring to geopolitical maneuvering and war games?
Who is we, friend? When you say “The United States and by extension, NATO” what makes you think they are we? Do you say “we” and “our” when referring to the Biden administration? Do you really not get what I’m driving at here? You’re spitting out a view that reads like that of a 2005 avid Fox News watcher. It’s like being an expert, but your area of expertise is tainted by the specter of propaganda. You don’t hear it? Read your replies out loud to yourself and tell me you don’t hear it.
If this is true, which I very much doubt, the UK should think back to the last time they deployed an 'expeditionary force' - to France. Remember Dunkirk?
This time though Putin won't make the same mistake as Hitler and he will destroy the forces before they can run away.
I think with illegal immigration (particularly the boats across the Channel), immigrant crime (an Afghan attacked a women and two small children the other day with acid - he was a sex offender, not deported), sky-high prices, a totally useless and corrupt government and the MSM slavishly echoing the government line (particularly about Ukraine) - we are also pretty close to the precipice.
MilitarySummary says that the 90K person NATO military exercises in europe will finish in arounf May '24. He says that those guys will be deployed along the Dniepr river.
This guy has a very good track record for analysis.
I meant to say "won't", and used the word "want" by mistake.
This video made after link vid in post states that Poland is betraying Ukraine though. I take this to mean that Poland is not going along with UK plans. Duda stated that Crimea is legitimately Russian territory.
He said the Crimean peninsula, which Russia seized in 2014, was “a special place … also for historical reasons. Because in fact, if we look historically, it was in Russia’s hands for most of the time”.
Here I see where Dada is receiving lots of heat for comment. Seems to be backtracking a bit, if you can believe any thing you read these days.
Poland’s president has declared he has always been unwavering in his support for Ukraine after being criticized for saying he was unsure whether Kyiv would be able to regain control of Crimea.
Warsaw has been one of Kyiv’s staunchest supporters since Russia invaded the country in 2022 and has said Ukraine must regain control over all of its territory in order to deter Moscow from further aggression.
Andrzej Duda reiterated this position during an interview on the YouTube channel Kanał Zero on Friday. However, when asked if he believed Ukraine would really be able to retake Crimea, he said: “It is hard for me to answer that question. I don’t know if [Ukraine] will regain Crimea, but I believe it will regain Donetsk and Luhansk.”
I don't think Ukraine will regain any ground from Russia. Not without WWIII kicking off and real possibility of tactical nukes being used, and then it's anybodies guess if any of us survive.
I believe that Ukraine means border or edge. Hence: "The Ukraine" for many years. All the countries round that region have claimed parts of Ukraine at some point in history.
Crimea was Russian from 1783 onwards. President Khruschev, for some reason, re-assigned it to Ukraine in 1954 but as both Crimea and Ukraine remained within the USSR it did not make much difference. It was only after the dissolution of the USSR at the end of 1991 that things changed.
Crimean cities are of Greek origin and the culture of Ukraine along the Black Sea is heavily influenced by the Greeks and Romans.
The sound of waves crashing on the shore and lush nature that traverses the interior, this could be yet another location in Greece. Instead, it is something else. The peninsular at the tip of the Ukraine is known as the Crimea. Whilst it may be in dispute between Ukraine and Russia, it was a Hellenic influenced region for most of the last 2,600 years. Along with other cultures, the ancient and Byzantine Greeks have had a tremendous impact on the Crimea. In the seventh century BC, a number of colonies were established, including Berezan, Chersonesus, Kimmerikon, Panticapaeum.
Within decades a Greek ‘kingdom’ existed in the Black Sea that maintained close ties to the Aegean. Hercules also made visits to the Crimea – known as Tauris in ancient times, it is also known for Achilles and his wife Iphigenia, who ruled on the island of Leuce. Euripides wrote Iphigenia in Tauris and many other famous authors of ancient times wrote about the region including the historian Herodotus. Many poems were also written about Tauris.
Greek Crimea concerns the ancient Greek settlements on the Crimean Peninsula. Greek city-states first established colonies along the Black Sea coast of Crimea in the 7th or 6th century BC.[1] Several colonies were established in the vicinity of the Kerch Strait, then known as the Cimmerian Bosporus. The density of colonies around the Cimmerian Bosporus was unusual for Greek colonization and reflected the importance of the area. The majority of these colonies were established by Ionians from the city of Miletus in Asia Minor.[2] By the mid-1st century BC the Bosporan Kingdom became a client state of the late Roman Republic, ushering in the era of Roman Crimea during the Roman Empire.
The UK does not have very many usable tanks, 3 soldiers leave to one civilian joining up, and the Royal Navy is in the same state. As for the RAF, there aren't any 5 star hotels in Ukraine so they are not interested.
I think he is talking about combined NATO forces rather than just the UK.
Combined NATO forces will have trouble with an armed Iran, China and Russia. They'll even have North Korean fodder.
We also have actual allies in direct vicinity, including South Korea and Japan.
Bonus points in their favor, China would likely bring Russia in on taking Taiwan, because it is strategically very important and would drastically weaken our long term capabilities.
This government has pushed itself into a corner, and the only fixes will take time and need to be spearheaded by someone who actually loves this country (Trump).
When you say “our” what to you mean?
Well, since we end up making up the bulk of force projection across the planet even within NATO, I would be referring to the United States and by extension NATO.
With limited fabs outside of Taiwan (a grave strategic "error" [read: Intentional act]) everyone and basically every industry would start to feel the constriction, and during wartime that would prevent the military from getting needed supplies for building replacement systems in the long term.
Everyone seriously underestimates the value of Taiwan, trying to jump to it being corrupt, not mattering, etc. but there simply are not enough fabs nor workers skilled in those fabs within U.S. reach and in an extended war with countries who have the resources, the fabs and the workers who are already skilled in working them, we would be disadvantaged.
According to Intel, it takes $10 billion dollars (likely more, and likely even higher than that in a wartime environment without access to replacement parts in the first place), three years (barring supply chain issues) and and more than 6000 construction workers to build and furnish a fab, and then there are multiple levels of training from there.
Some estimations even put it at five years to build.
These tiny chips with millions, billions, tens of billions of transistors in them can't just be created in a factory that's retooled for this purpose.
--
Apologies if this went too in-depth, I just wanted to elaborate on why Taiwan is critical right now. That's ignoring how something not too far from 100% of medication is made in China, which would be another huge advantage that they have.
I am very critical about the U.S. sending actually critical infrastructure overseas instead of ensuring that we are self sufficient in every critical industry. Not even least of all the fact that IP theft has put China on a map where they should never have been without being jumped forward a century.
They didn't even have a very large naval force in WW2.
You really on this site and don’t know why I’m asking you who the we in “our” is when referring to geopolitical maneuvering and war games?
Who is we, friend? When you say “The United States and by extension, NATO” what makes you think they are we? Do you say “we” and “our” when referring to the Biden administration? Do you really not get what I’m driving at here? You’re spitting out a view that reads like that of a 2005 avid Fox News watcher. It’s like being an expert, but your area of expertise is tainted by the specter of propaganda. You don’t hear it? Read your replies out loud to yourself and tell me you don’t hear it.
Who is “we”, friend?
I've always found this guy, who knows his stuff, to not report on things unless he has good intel.
If this is true, which I very much doubt, the UK should think back to the last time they deployed an 'expeditionary force' - to France. Remember Dunkirk?
This time though Putin won't make the same mistake as Hitler and he will destroy the forces before they can run away.
Kek, I'm sure you are right, but I think he is talking about combined NATO forces rather than just the UK.
Brits need their precipice too.
I think with illegal immigration (particularly the boats across the Channel), immigrant crime (an Afghan attacked a women and two small children the other day with acid - he was a sex offender, not deported), sky-high prices, a totally useless and corrupt government and the MSM slavishly echoing the government line (particularly about Ukraine) - we are also pretty close to the precipice.
Sound familiar?
MilitarySummary says that the 90K person NATO military exercises in europe will finish in arounf May '24. He says that those guys will be deployed along the Dniepr river.
This guy has a very good track record for analysis.
And, IF it happens, Putin won't be ready for them?
He's already demonstrated that the Russian miliary can strike every part of Ukraine, at will.
Yes, no argument.
Yes he does. And he reports it both ways. He show Ukraine wins a battle, and other way around.
I have been watching him daily for a good time, and never found him to say anything that was not based on good intel.
I meant to say "won't", and used the word "want" by mistake.
This video made after link vid in post states that Poland is betraying Ukraine though. I take this to mean that Poland is not going along with UK plans. Duda stated that Crimea is legitimately Russian territory.
He said the Crimean peninsula, which Russia seized in 2014, was “a special place … also for historical reasons. Because in fact, if we look historically, it was in Russia’s hands for most of the time”.
https://rumble.com/v4b5fz9-snowstorm-poland-betrayed-ukraine-the-first-encirclement-in-avdiivka.-milit.html
Here I see where Dada is receiving lots of heat for comment. Seems to be backtracking a bit, if you can believe any thing you read these days.
Poland’s president has declared he has always been unwavering in his support for Ukraine after being criticized for saying he was unsure whether Kyiv would be able to regain control of Crimea.
Warsaw has been one of Kyiv’s staunchest supporters since Russia invaded the country in 2022 and has said Ukraine must regain control over all of its territory in order to deter Moscow from further aggression.
Andrzej Duda reiterated this position during an interview on the YouTube channel Kanał Zero on Friday. However, when asked if he believed Ukraine would really be able to retake Crimea, he said: “It is hard for me to answer that question. I don’t know if [Ukraine] will regain Crimea, but I believe it will regain Donetsk and Luhansk.”
I don't think Ukraine will regain any ground from Russia. Not without WWIII kicking off and real possibility of tactical nukes being used, and then it's anybodies guess if any of us survive.
I believe that Ukraine means border or edge. Hence: "The Ukraine" for many years. All the countries round that region have claimed parts of Ukraine at some point in history.
Crimea was Russian from 1783 onwards. President Khruschev, for some reason, re-assigned it to Ukraine in 1954 but as both Crimea and Ukraine remained within the USSR it did not make much difference. It was only after the dissolution of the USSR at the end of 1991 that things changed.
So: 208 years Russian/Soviet; 37 years Ukrainian.
Crimean cities are of Greek origin and the culture of Ukraine along the Black Sea is heavily influenced by the Greeks and Romans.
https://neoskosmos.com/en/2020/08/21/life/hellenic-crimea-and-the-discovery-of-a-greek-principality-theodoro/
And wiki:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greeks_in_pre-Roman_Crimea
The Goths and Vikings also played a huge role in the history of Crimea.
It all comes flooding back now:
I have seen claims that archaeological remains might date back about a million years.
And Catherine the Great of Russia is famous for founding Odessa in south west Ukraine.
I have this suspicion that Poland and Lithuania have designs on a new Grand Duchy once Ukraine capitulates.
The UK has a standing army?
This is a fantastic channel but there is so much information, usually an hour of episodes per day. I wish there was a 10 minute version :)
Many of the updates are much shorter. But it is a great channel. This guy really knows his stuff.
Nothing is what it seems right now.